Sport Picks

Mali

Coupe du Mali Stade Modibo Kéïta

Djoliba

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Real Bamako play Djoliba in the Coupe du Mali. It looks like a close match. Recently, Real Bamako averaged 1.23 goals scored and 0.5 conceded. Djoliba averaged 1.63 goals scored and 0.5 conceded. In past meetings, Real Bamako won 1, Djoliba won 2, and they drew 2. Their last match on Jun 9, 2026 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.51 for Real Bamako and 1.38 for Djoliba. This points to a Djoliba double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%

Real Bamako

27%

Draws

39%

Djoliba

Draw rate projection: 27% Favored: Djoliba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence

Real Bamako picked up more points recently compared to Djoliba.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.51 vs 1.38 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%

Over 1.5 Goals 58%

Over 2.5 Goals 31%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%

Real Bamako Clean Sheet 17%

Djoliba Clean Sheet 22%

First Half Goal 52%

Second Half Goal 55%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Real Bamako	Djoliba
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	17	21
Draws	7	6
Losses	6	3
Goals Scored	1.23	1.63
Goals Conceded	0.5	0.5
Expected Goals (xG)	0.63	2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.63	0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 9, 2026 Premiere Division

Djoliba vs Real Bamako

Possession: 59% - 53% Cards: 2 - 1

0:1

May 17, 2026 Coupe du Mali

Real Bamako vs Djoliba

Possession: 53% - 42% Cards: 0 - 4

0:1

Mar 4, 2026 Premiere Division

Real Bamako vs Djoliba

Possession: 42% - 58% Cards: 2 - 2

1:1

May 25, 2025 Premiere Division

Real Bamako vs Djoliba

Possession: 50% - 46% Cards: 3 - 3

1:1

Feb 2, 2025 Premiere Division

Djoliba vs Real Bamako

Possession: 50% - 44% Cards: 1 - 0

3:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Bamako 34 / 100

Djoliba 40 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Real Bamako Djoliba

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Djoliba or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +30.9%

3.85

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +24%

4.00

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Real Bamako attacking → ← attacking Djoliba

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Real Bamako scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Djoliba let in goals in 43% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Real Bamako went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Djoliba lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

58 Points in last 5 69

0.63 Goals expected (xG) 2.13

0.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.38