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Real Bamako vs Mali Coura

Mali Mali

Coupe du Mali Stade Modibo Kéïta
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Real Bamako play Mali Coura in the Coupe du Mali. Real Bamako are favorites here. Recently, Real Bamako averaged 0.75 goals scored and 0.88 conceded. Mali Coura averaged 1 goals scored and 0.88 conceded. In past meetings, Real Bamako won 3, Mali Coura won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 6, 2026 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.81 for Real Bamako and 0.94 for Mali Coura. This points to a Real Bamako double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Real Bamako
11%
Draws
9%
Mali Coura
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Real Bamako

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Real Bamako has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Mali Coura.
  • Model forecasts a 80% win probability edge for Real Bamako.
  • Cup tournament structure in Coupe du Mali increases high-stakes performance focus.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 22%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Real Bamako Clean Sheet 68%
Mali Coura Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real Bamako Mali Coura
Matches Played 32 27
Wins 19 4
Draws 7 8
Losses 6 15
Goals Scored 0.75 1
Goals Conceded 0.88 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 6, 2026 Coupe du Mali
Real Bamako vs Mali Coura
1:0
Apr 4, 2026 Premiere Division
Real Bamako vs Mali Coura
1:0
Dec 13, 2025 Premiere Division
Mali Coura vs Real Bamako
0:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Bamako 86 / 100
Mali Coura 12 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real Bamako Mali Coura

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick REA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Real Bamako scored in 81% of their last 32 games.

Mali Coura let in goals in 81% of their last 27 matches.

Games between these two average 1.67 goals.

Real Bamako went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Mali Coura lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Real Bamako VS Mali Coura
0.75 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
38% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Stade Malien9
AS Sofa0
USFAS Bamako0
Diarra1
Real Bamako1
Mali Coura0
Djoliba3
Tombouctou1
Semi-finals
Stade Malien0
Diarra1
Real Bamako0
Djoliba1
Final
Diarra0
Djoliba2