Sport Picks

Mali

Coupe du Mali Stade Modibo Kéïta

Mali Coura

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Real Bamako play Mali Coura in the Coupe du Mali. Real Bamako are favorites here. Recently, Real Bamako averaged 1.23 goals scored and 0.5 conceded. Mali Coura averaged 0.74 goals scored and 1.19 conceded. In past meetings, Real Bamako won 3, Mali Coura won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 6, 2026 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.81 for Real Bamako and 0.94 for Mali Coura. This points to a Real Bamako double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%

Real Bamako

18%

Draws

17%

Mali Coura

Draw rate projection: 18% Favored: Real Bamako

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

92% / Very High Confidence

Real Bamako picked up more points recently compared to Mali Coura.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.81 vs 0.94 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 57%

Over 2.5 Goals 27%

Over 3.5 Goals 16%

Over 4.5 Goals 8%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33%

Real Bamako Clean Sheet 24%

Mali Coura Clean Sheet 18%

First Half Goal 51%

Second Half Goal 54%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Real Bamako	Mali Coura
Matches Played	30	27
Wins	17	4
Draws	7	8
Losses	6	15
Goals Scored	1.23	0.74
Goals Conceded	0.5	1.19
Expected Goals (xG)	0.75	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.88	0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 6, 2026 Coupe du Mali

Real Bamako vs Mali Coura

Possession: 42% - 53% Cards: 2 - 1

1:0

Apr 4, 2026 Premiere Division

Real Bamako vs Mali Coura

Possession: 41% - 54% Cards: 3 - 3

1:0

Dec 13, 2025 Premiere Division

Mali Coura vs Real Bamako

Possession: 58% - 51% Cards: 3 - 4

0:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Bamako 63 / 100

Mali Coura 19 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Real Bamako Mali Coura

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Real Bamako Win (1)

Secondary Pick Real Bamako & Under 3.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +13.7%

1.75

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +28.5%

4.76

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Real Bamako attacking → ← attacking Mali Coura

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Real Bamako scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Mali Coura let in goals in 81% of their last 27 matches.

Games between these two average 1.67 goals.

Real Bamako went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Mali Coura lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

58 Points in last 5 20

0.75 Goals expected (xG) 1.00

0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88