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Real Bamako vs Mali Coura

Mali Mali

Premiere Division Stade Modibo Kéïta, Bamako
Real Bamako Logo

Real Bamako

1 - 0
FT
Mali Coura Logo

Mali Coura

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Premiere Division game between Real Bamako and Mali Coura finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Real Bamako.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Real Bamako
35%
Draws
20%
Mali Coura
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Real Bamako

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Mali Coura haven't matched Real Bamako's recent run of results.
  • 45% — that's where the model lands on Real Bamako taking it.
  • Regular Premiere Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Real Bamako have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 18%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Real Bamako Clean Sheet 68%
Mali Coura Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real Bamako Mali Coura
Matches Played 32 27
Wins 18 4
Draws 8 8
Losses 6 15
Goals Scored 1.31 0.74
Goals Conceded 0.56 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 6, 2026 Coupe du Mali
Real Bamako vs Mali Coura
1:0
Apr 4, 2026 Premiere Division
Real Bamako vs Mali Coura
1:0
Dec 13, 2025 Premiere Division
Mali Coura vs Real Bamako
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Bamako 77 / 100
Mali Coura 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real Bamako Mali Coura

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Real Bamako Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mali Coura has conceded goals in 81% of their last 27 outings.

Recent resilience: Real Bamako stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Real Bamako's goal record stands at 78% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.67 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Real Bamako VS Mali Coura
0.63 Goals Scored 1
0.63 Goals Conceded 1
25% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Real Bamako

(Home)
11 Sept
Real Bamako
0 : 0
Vitesse
06 Sept
Vitesse
1 : 2
Real Bamako
13 Jun
Real Bamako
4 : 0
Bougouba
09 Jun
Djoliba
0 : 1
Real Bamako
05 Jun
Real Bamako
0 : 0
Foot Elite
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Mali Coura

(Away)
14 Jun
USFAS Bamako
2 : 1
Mali Coura
10 Jun
Derby Academie
2 : 2
Mali Coura
04 Jun
Mali Coura
2 : 0
US Bougouni
31 May
Onze Createurs
1 : 0
Mali Coura
24 May
Mali Coura
1 : 1
Stade Malien
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Djoliba 26 18 5 3 41:12 59
2 Stade Malien 26 14 8 4 28:15 50
3 Real Bamako 26 14 7 5 32:14 49
4 Diarra 26 13 5 8 32:24 44
5 Binga 26 12 7 7 28:15 43
6 USFAS Bamako 26 12 6 8 37:27 42
7 Korofina 26 9 6 11 28:31 33
8 Bougouba 26 8 7 11 21:34 31
9 Derby Academie 26 5 14 7 19:22 29
10 Bakaridjan 26 6 9 11 20:27 27
11 Foot Elite 26 7 6 13 23:38 27
12 Onze Createurs 26 6 8 12 16:24 26
13 Mali Coura 26 4 8 14 20:31 20
14 US Bougouni 26 4 4 18 12:43 16
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)