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Real Bamako vs Vitesse Prediction & H2H Stats

Africa Africa

CAF Confederation Cup Stade Modibo Kéïta, Bamako
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-0. The second leg ended 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Real Bamako
35%
Draws
27%
Vitesse
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Real Bamako

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Real Bamako come out ahead of Vitesse on wins alone.
  • Model gives Real Bamako a 38% chance of winning this.
  • Real Bamako have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Real Bamako Clean Sheet 68%
Vitesse Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real Bamako Vitesse
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 16 11
Draws 8 10
Losses 6 9
Goals Scored 1.17 1
Goals Conceded 0.53 0.73
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 11, 2026 CAF Confederation Cup
Real Bamako vs Vitesse
0:0
Sep 6, 2026 CAF Confederation Cup
Vitesse vs Real Bamako
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Bamako 68 / 100
Vitesse 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real Bamako Vitesse

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Real Bamako Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Real Bamako has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Real Bamako scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Vitesse let in goals in 57% of their last 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Real Bamako VS Vitesse
0.75 Goals Scored 1.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
38% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Real Bamako

(Home)
11 Sept
Real Bamako
0 : 0
Vitesse
06 Sept
Vitesse
1 : 2
Real Bamako
13 Jun
Real Bamako
4 : 0
Bougouba
09 Jun
Djoliba
0 : 1
Real Bamako
05 Jun
Real Bamako
0 : 0
Foot Elite
Page 1 of 6

Vitesse

(Away)
03 Oct
Majestic
1 : 3
Vitesse
28 Sept
Vitesse
1 : 0
ASFA Yennega
20 Sept
Kadiogo
2 : 2
Vitesse
11 Sept
Real Bamako
0 : 0
Vitesse
06 Sept
Vitesse
1 : 2
Real Bamako
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Mogadishu City 1
Kitara 4
TBD -
Al Ahly -
ZED FC 5
ASAS 1
TBD -
Azam -
Hilal Alsahil 3
Welwalo Adigrat 4
KMKM 0
Al Ahly Tripoli 7
Madani 2
Tusker 3
Al-Ghazala 1
Singida Black Stars 10
Panthers 5
ASPAC 5
TBD -
USM Alger -
AS Psi 2
Korhogo 4
TBD -
FAR Rabat -
Douane 3
Hafia 2
TBD -
CR Belouizdad -
El Kanemi Warriors 3
UDIB 1
TBD -
Raja Casablanca -
Academie de FAD 3
East End Lions 3
Shooting 1
CS Sfaxien 2
Zarzis 3
Diambars de Saly 2
Vitesse 1
Real Bamako 2
Diarra 2
Nations FC 1
AS ZAM 0
ASKO Kara 6
UNAM 1
Kabuscorp 5
TBD -
AS Maniema -
Red Arrows 4
Inate FC Rouge Vakinakaratra 0
TBD -
Kaizer Chiefs -
Durban City 3
Rukinzo 1
Port Louis 2
Jwaneng Galaxy 1
Panthere 1
Rayon Sport 1
Atomic Ngome 0
Associacao Black Bulls 1
Virunga 1
Bazar Brothers 0
Green Mamba 0
Primeiro de Agosto 4
Final
Kitara -
Al Ahly -
ZED FC -
Azam -
Welwalo Adigrat -
Al Ahly Tripoli -
Tusker -
Singida Black Stars -
Panthers -
USM Alger -
Korhogo -
FAR Rabat -
Douane -
CR Belouizdad -
El Kanemi Warriors -
Raja Casablanca -
Academie de FAD -
CS Sfaxien -
Zarzis -
Real Bamako -
Diarra -
ASKO Kara -
Kabuscorp -
AS Maniema -
Red Arrows -
Kaizer Chiefs -
Durban City -
Port Louis -
Rayon Sport -
Associacao Black Bulls -
Virunga -
Primeiro de Agosto -