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Real Banjul vs Medina United

Gambia Gambia

GFA League
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Dibba A.
78' Event
Jarju M.
86' Event
Chatty Y.

AI Match Summary

The GFA League game between Real Banjul and Medina United finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Medina United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Real Banjul
40%
Draws
29%
Medina United
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Real Banjul haven't matched Medina United's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Real Banjul Clean Sheet 68%
Medina United Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real Banjul Medina United
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 16
Draws 14 6
Losses 7 8
Goals Scored 1.13 1.25
Goals Conceded 1 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 6, 2026 GFA League
Real Banjul vs Medina United
1:2
Jan 24, 2026 GFA League
Medina United vs Real Banjul
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Real Banjul Compare

Top Goalscorer Dibba A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Medina United Compare

Top Goalscorer Jarju M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Chatty Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Banjul 42 / 100
Medina United 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real Banjul Medina United

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Real Banjul's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Medina United's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Real Banjul has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Real Banjul VS Medina United
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Medina United30166834:2554
2Fortune301411533:2153
3Gambia Ports301211726:1847
4Bombada301111836:3244
5Brikama United301110937:3343
6Real Banjul30914730:2541
7BST Galaxy30912929:3239
8Hart Academy309111036:3438
9Team Rhino309101126:2937
10Falcons30714919:2435
11Dutch Lions307131033:3334
12Greater Tomorrow308101225:3534
13Hawks307121125:3133
14TMT307121120:2933
15Samger306141023:2732
16Steve Biko305151024:2830