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Real Brasilia vs Santa Maria

Brazil Brazil

Brasiliense 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Costa G.

AI Match Summary

Real Brasilia in this Brasiliense 2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Real Brasilia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Real Brasilia
6%
Draws
4%
Santa Maria
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Real Brasilia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Real Brasilia have won more games recently than Santa Maria.
  • Real Brasilia are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Real Brasilia Clean Sheet 68%
Santa Maria Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real Brasilia Santa Maria
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 7 6
Draws 7 4
Losses 18 20
Goals Scored 0.38 0
Goals Conceded 1.75 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 25, 2024 Brasiliense
Real Brasilia vs Santa Maria
1:0
Mar 18, 2023 Brasiliense
Santa Maria vs Real Brasilia
0:0
Mar 30, 2021 Brasiliense
Real Brasilia vs Santa Maria
1:1
Feb 18, 2019 Brasiliense
Real Brasilia vs Santa Maria
4:1
Jan 31, 2018 Brasiliense
Santa Maria vs Real Brasilia
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Real Brasilia Compare

Top Goalscorer Costa G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.29
Avg xA / game 0.19

Santa Maria Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Brasilia 95 / 100
Santa Maria 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real Brasilia Santa Maria

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick REA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Santa Maria's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.

Difficult form: Santa Maria registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Real Brasilia found the back of the net in 53% of recent matches (32 games).

Scoring Trends

Real Brasilia VS -
0.38 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Capital971124:322
2Ceilandia962120:820
3Gama962117:520
4Brasiliense961215:619
5Paranoa953113:818
6Real Brasilia92259:148
7Samambaia92168:137
8Ceilandense92169:197
9Planaltina91175:194
10Santa Maria91083:283