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Real Burgos CF vs La Baneza

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 8 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Real Burgos CF in this Tercera Division - Group 8 2020/2021 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Real Burgos CF.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Real Burgos CF
28%
Draws
22%
La Baneza
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Real Burgos CF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • La Baneza have won more games recently than Real Burgos CF.
  • Model gives Real Burgos CF a 50% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Real Burgos CF Clean Sheet 68%
La Baneza Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real Burgos CF La Baneza
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 4 9
Draws 7 8
Losses 19 13
Goals Scored 0.75 0.88
Goals Conceded 2.25 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Real Burgos CF vs La Baneza
1:0
Apr 18, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
La Baneza vs Real Burgos CF
4:1
Mar 8, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Real Burgos CF vs La Baneza
2:0
Oct 9, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
La Baneza vs Real Burgos CF
2:0
Jan 20, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
La Baneza vs Real Burgos CF
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Burgos CF 59 / 100
La Baneza 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real Burgos CF La Baneza

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick REA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Real Burgos CF's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

La Baneza let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

La Baneza's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Real Burgos CF VS La Baneza
0.75 Goals Scored 0.88
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Real Burgos CF

(Home)
20 Jun
Penaranda de Bracamonte
3 : 1
Real Burgos CF
13 Jun
Real Burgos CF
1 : 2
Becerril
30 May
Real Burgos CF
1 : 0
La Baneza
22 May
Salamanca CF UDS B
2 : 1
Real Burgos CF
16 May
Real Burgos CF
1 : 2
Santa Marta Tormes
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La Baneza

(Away)
15 Aug
La Baneza
0 : 3
Atletico Astorga
20 Jun
La Baneza
0 : 4
Almazan
12 Jun
Colegios Diocesanos
2 : 0
La Baneza
06 Jun
La Baneza
2 : 0
La Granja
30 May
Real Burgos CF
1 : 0
La Baneza
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