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Real Calepina vs AC Milan U23 Prediction & H2H Stats

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Serie D - Group B 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

63' Event
Oboe M.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group B 2025/2026 game between Real Calepina and AC Milan U23 finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Real Calepina.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Real Calepina
20%
Draws
56%
AC Milan U23
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: AC Milan U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • AC Milan U23 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • AC Milan U23 are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Real Calepina Clean Sheet 10%
AC Milan U23 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real Calepina AC Milan U23
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 9 15
Draws 7 6
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.21 1.9
Goals Conceded 1.32 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 8, 2026 Serie D - Group B
Real Calepina vs AC Milan U23
1:0
Nov 26, 2025 Serie D - Group B
AC Milan U23 vs Real Calepina
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Real Calepina Compare

Top Goalscorer Oboe M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

AC Milan U23 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Calepina 26 / 100
AC Milan U23 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real Calepina AC Milan U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AC Milan U23 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Real Calepina scored in 82% of their last 28 games.

AC Milan U23 has conceded goals in 81% of their last 31 outings.

Solid form: Real Calepina remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Real Calepina VS AC Milan U23
1.38 Goals Scored 2.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Real Calepina

(Home)
27 Sept
Real Calepina
2 : 3
Brusaporto
20 Sept
Piacenza
3 : 1
Real Calepina
16 Sept
Real Calepina
2 : 2
Caldiero Terme
12 Sept
Scanzorosciate
0 : 0
Real Calepina
06 Sept
Real Calepina
5 : 1
Pro Palazzolo
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AC Milan U23

(Away)
20 Sept
Villa Valle
1 : 2
AC Milan U23
16 Sept
AC Milan U23
2 : 1
Brusaporto
12 Sept
Pro Palazzolo
2 : 0
AC Milan U23
06 Sept
AC Milan U23
4 : 3
Caldiero Terme
02 Sept
Everton U21
1 : 2
AC Milan U23
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Folgore Caratese 34 19 11 4 58:27 68
2 USD Casatese 34 16 13 5 49:28 61
3 Chievo 34 18 6 10 52:43 60
4 AC Milan U23 34 16 8 10 62:37 56
5 AC Leon 34 14 11 9 44:34 53
6 Brusaporto 34 15 6 13 41:38 51
7 Oltrepo 34 15 8 11 38:36 50
8 Scanzorosciate 34 11 14 9 41:33 47
9 Villa Valle 34 13 8 13 43:46 47
10 Ciserano-Bergamo 34 11 13 10 33:31 46
11 Caldiero Terme 34 10 15 9 50:40 45
12 Real Calepina 34 11 9 14 42:47 42
13 Castellanzese 34 10 11 13 41:39 41
14 Breno 34 9 11 14 39:51 38
15 Pavia 34 9 10 15 36:47 37
16 Varesina 34 7 15 12 38:44 36
17 Sondrio 34 8 7 19 37:64 31
18 Vogherese 34 2 8 24 21:80 -17
Promotion - Serie D - Group B 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B 2025/2026 (Play Out)