Sport Picks
Real Calepina vs Caldiero Terme - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Italy
Serie D - Group B 
Match Events
32'
32'
Orfeini T.
45'
45'
Scanzi M.
74'
74'
Lugnan G.
AI Match Summary
The Serie D - Group B game between Real Calepina and Caldiero Terme finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
19%
30%
51%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Caldiero Terme
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
19%
/ Low Confidence
- Real Calepina carry the better recent record into this one.
- 19% — that's where the model lands on Real Calepina taking it.
- Regular Serie D - Group B form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38.400000000000006%
Real Calepina Clean Sheet 68%
Caldiero Terme Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Real Calepina | Caldiero Terme |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 10 | 9 |
| Draws | 7 | 11 |
| Losses | 11 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.21 | 1.71 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.29 | 1.39 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 16, 2026 Serie D - Group B
Real Calepina vs Caldiero Terme
2:2
Mar 22, 2026 Serie D - Group B
Caldiero Terme vs Real Calepina
3:1
Nov 9, 2025 Serie D - Group B
Real Calepina vs Caldiero Terme
1:1
Apr 21, 2024 Serie D - Group B
Real Calepina vs Caldiero Terme
0:1
Dec 10, 2023 Serie D - Group B
Caldiero Terme vs Real Calepina
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Real Calepina Compare
Top Goalscorer Scanzi M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Lugnan G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
Caldiero Terme Compare
Top Goalscorer Orfeini T.
1 Goals Assists Leader Castelli M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Real Calepina 77 / 100
Caldiero Terme 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Real Calepina Caldiero Terme
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Real Calepina Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Real Calepina's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Caldiero Terme let in goals in 82% of their last 28 matches.
H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.
Real Calepina has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Real Calepina VS Caldiero Terme
1.63 Goals Scored 1.63
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Real Calepina
(Home) 07 Oct
Real Calepina
0 : 2 AC Leon
04 Oct
Rovato Vertovese
0 : 1 Real Calepina
27 Sept
Real Calepina
2 : 3 Brusaporto
20 Sept
Piacenza
3 : 1 Real Calepina
16 Sept
Real Calepina
2 : 2 Caldiero Terme
Page 1 of 6
07 Oct
Real Calepina
0 : 2 AC Leon
27 Sept
Real Calepina
2 : 3 Brusaporto
16 Sept
Real Calepina
2 : 2 Caldiero Terme
06 Sept
Real Calepina
5 : 1 Pro Palazzolo
03 May
Real Calepina
1 : 1 Scanzorosciate
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Caldiero Terme
(Away) 07 Oct
Este
0 : 2 Caldiero Terme
04 Oct
Caldiero Terme
1 : 0 Nibbiano & Valtidone
27 Sept
Fiorenzuola
1 : 1 Caldiero Terme
20 Sept
Caldiero Terme
1 : 0 Scanzorosciate
16 Sept
Real Calepina
2 : 2 Caldiero Terme
Page 1 of 6
07 Oct
Este
0 : 2 Caldiero Terme
27 Sept
Fiorenzuola
1 : 1 Caldiero Terme
16 Sept
Real Calepina
2 : 2 Caldiero Terme
06 Sept
AC Milan U23
4 : 3 Caldiero Terme
26 Apr
Vogherese
0 : 6 Caldiero Terme
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chievo | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 14:6 | 15 |
| 2 | Nibbiano & Valtidone | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 7:2 | 15 |
| 3 | Piacenza | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10:4 | 11 |
| 4 | Pro Palazzolo | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6:7 | 10 |
| 5 | Ciserano-Bergamo | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8:4 | 9 |
| 6 | AC Leon | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9:7 | 9 |
| 7 | Caldiero Terme | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9:8 | 9 |
| 8 | AC Milan U23 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8:7 | 9 |
| 9 | Brusaporto | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7:8 | 9 |
| 10 | Real Calepina | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11:9 | 8 |
| 11 | Virtus Verona | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5:7 | 8 |
| 12 | Villa Valle | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 6:6 | 7 |
| 13 | Pavonese | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5:6 | 7 |
| 14 | Scanzorosciate | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:8 | 5 |
| 15 | Club Milano | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:7 | 4 |
| 16 | Rovato Vertovese | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 8:12 | 3 |
| 17 | Fiorenzuola | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 1:7 | 3 |
| 18 | Tritium | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7:15 | 2 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group B (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B (Play Out)
