Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Real Calepina vs Ponte San Pietro

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group B 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

60' Event
Ekuban T. A.
62' Event
Silenzi C.
77' Event
Gardoni P.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group B 2023/2024 game between Real Calepina and Ponte San Pietro finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Real Calepina.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Real Calepina
40%
Draws
29%
Ponte San Pietro
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Real Calepina carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Serie D - Group B 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Real Calepina Clean Sheet 20%
Ponte San Pietro Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real Calepina Ponte San Pietro
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 11 4
Draws 8 6
Losses 13 20
Goals Scored 1.38 0
Goals Conceded 0.75 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 5, 2024 Serie D - Group B
Real Calepina vs Ponte San Pietro
3:0
Dec 20, 2023 Serie D - Group B
Ponte San Pietro vs Real Calepina
0:1
Oct 18, 2023 Coppa Italia Serie D
Real Calepina vs Ponte San Pietro
1:0
Feb 19, 2023 Serie D - Group B
Real Calepina vs Ponte San Pietro
0:0
Oct 16, 2022 Serie D - Group B
Ponte San Pietro vs Real Calepina
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Real Calepina Compare

Top Goalscorer Ekuban T. A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Silenzi C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Ponte San Pietro Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Calepina 32 / 100
Ponte San Pietro 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real Calepina Ponte San Pietro

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Real Calepina found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (32 games).

Ponte San Pietro's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Real Calepina has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Difficult form: Ponte San Pietro registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Real Calepina VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Caldiero Terme38238755:3277
2Piacenza38228869:3574
3Pro Palazzolo382110749:2673
4Desenzano Calvina381912751:2869
5Varesina382081073:4968
6Arconatese382151258:3868
7Brusaporto381591455:5454
8Clivense3814111338:4753
9Villa Valle381581550:4453
10Folgore Caratese381118944:4551
11USD Casatese3813121353:5351
12Caravaggio3812101644:5146
13Ciserano-Bergamo381361949:5845
14Club Milano3811121541:4445
15Real Calepina3811111638:4744
16Legnano381191834:5042
17Castellanzese389121736:5139
18Crema38992025:4836
19Tritium386112127:5729
20Ponte San Pietro38592431:6324