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Real Calepina vs Scanzorosciate

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group B 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Cortesi M.
61' Event
Haoufadi S.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group B 2025/2026 game between Real Calepina and Scanzorosciate finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Real Calepina
35%
Draws
16%
Scanzorosciate
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Real Calepina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Real Calepina haven't matched Scanzorosciate's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Real Calepina a 49% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie D - Group B 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Real Calepina Clean Sheet 14%
Scanzorosciate Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real Calepina Scanzorosciate
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 10
Draws 8 13
Losses 13 7
Goals Scored 1.13 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.4 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Serie D - Group B
Real Calepina vs Scanzorosciate
1:1
Dec 21, 2025 Serie D - Group B
Scanzorosciate vs Real Calepina
1:2
Mar 17, 2021 Serie D - Group B
Real Calepina vs Scanzorosciate
1:1
Oct 4, 2020 Serie D - Group B
Scanzorosciate vs Real Calepina
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Real Calepina Compare

Top Goalscorer Cortesi M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Scanzorosciate Compare

Top Goalscorer Haoufadi S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Calepina 57 / 100
Scanzorosciate 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real Calepina Scanzorosciate

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick REA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Real Calepina found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Scanzorosciate conceded in 60% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.75 goals per match.

Solid form: Real Calepina remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Real Calepina VS Scanzorosciate
1 Goals Scored 1.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Real Calepina

(Home)
03 May
Real Calepina
1 : 1
Scanzorosciate
26 Apr
Sondrio
5 : 1
Real Calepina
19 Apr
Folgore Caratese
1 : 1
Real Calepina
12 Apr
Real Calepina
1 : 1
Breno
08 Apr
Real Calepina
1 : 0
AC Milan U23
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Scanzorosciate

(Away)
08 Aug
AlbinoLeffe
3 : 0
Scanzorosciate
05 Aug
Ospitaletto
1 : 0
Scanzorosciate
03 May
Real Calepina
1 : 1
Scanzorosciate
26 Apr
Scanzorosciate
0 : 3
USD Casatese
19 Apr
Scanzorosciate
0 : 0
AC Leon
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Folgore Caratese 34 19 11 4 58:27 68
2 USD Casatese 34 16 13 5 49:28 61
3 Chievo 34 18 6 10 52:43 60
4 AC Milan U23 34 16 8 10 62:37 56
5 AC Leon 34 14 11 9 44:34 53
6 Brusaporto 34 15 6 13 41:38 51
7 Oltrepo 34 15 8 11 38:36 50
8 Scanzorosciate 34 11 14 9 41:33 47
9 Villa Valle 34 13 8 13 43:46 47
10 Ciserano-Bergamo 34 11 13 10 33:31 46
11 Caldiero Terme 34 10 15 9 50:40 45
12 Real Calepina 34 11 9 14 42:47 42
13 Castellanzese 34 10 11 13 41:39 41
14 Breno 34 9 11 14 39:51 38
15 Pavia 34 9 10 15 36:47 37
16 Varesina 34 7 15 12 38:44 36
17 Sondrio 34 8 7 19 37:64 31
18 Vogherese 34 2 8 24 21:80 -17
Promotion - Serie D - Group B 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B 2025/2026 (Play Out)