Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Real Casalnuovo vs Siracusa

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group I 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Maggio D.
37' Event
Maggio D.
68' Event
Reginaldo

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group I 2023/2024 game between Real Casalnuovo and Siracusa finished 3-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Siracusa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Real Casalnuovo
30%
Draws
51%
Siracusa
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Siracusa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Real Casalnuovo carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Siracusa are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Real Casalnuovo Clean Sheet 19%
Siracusa Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real Casalnuovo Siracusa
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 12 10
Draws 6 12
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.46 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 5, 2024 Serie D - Group I
Real Casalnuovo vs Siracusa
3:4
Dec 21, 2023 Serie D - Group I
Siracusa vs Real Casalnuovo
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Real Casalnuovo Compare

Top Goalscorer Reginaldo
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sarno V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Siracusa Compare

Top Goalscorer Maggio D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Arcidiacono P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.13
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Casalnuovo 20 / 100
Siracusa 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real Casalnuovo Siracusa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Siracusa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Siracusa let in goals in 87% of their last 31 matches.

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Real Casalnuovo found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (28 games).

Real Casalnuovo went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Siracusa
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Real Casalnuovo

(Home)
05 May
Real Casalnuovo
3 : 4
Siracusa
28 Apr
San Luca
0 : 1
Real Casalnuovo
14 Apr
AS Acireale
1 : 1
Real Casalnuovo
07 Apr
Real Casalnuovo
0 : 1
Reggina
28 Mar
Igea Virtus
3 : 1
Real Casalnuovo
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Siracusa

(Away)
27 Sept
Siracusa
1 : 0
ASD Modica Calcio
20 Sept
Digiesse PraiaTortora
0 : 0
Siracusa
16 Sept
Siracusa
2 : 1
Gela
12 Sept
Vibonese
1 : 1
Siracusa
06 Sept
Siracusa
4 : 2
Athletic Palermo
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Trapani 34 30 4 0 95:15 94
2 Siracusa 34 25 6 3 79:26 81
3 Vibonese 34 22 6 6 67:29 72
4 Reggina 34 19 8 7 54:25 65
5 AS Acireale 34 15 9 10 39:41 54
6 S. Agata 34 15 7 12 46:35 52
7 Real Casalnuovo 34 15 6 13 52:49 51
8 USD Ragusa 34 14 8 12 41:38 50
9 Canicatti 34 14 6 14 55:51 48
10 Igea Virtus 34 13 6 15 38:40 45
11 Licata 34 12 7 15 43:54 43
12 Akragas 34 12 6 16 42:53 42
13 Sancataldese 34 9 10 15 32:43 37
14 Portici 1906 34 8 8 18 32:55 32
15 San Luca 34 6 12 16 37:55 29
16 Locri 1909 34 7 7 20 34:68 28
17 Castrovillari 34 2 12 20 29:76 17
18 Nuova Gioiese 34 3 2 29 18:80 11
19 Lamezia Terme 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Serie D - Group I 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group I 2023/2024 (Play Out)