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Real Colorado vs Utah United

USA USA

USL League Two
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Real Colorado play Utah United in the USL League Two. Utah United are favorites here. Recently, Real Colorado averaged 2 goals scored and 2.63 conceded. Utah United averaged 2.4 goals scored and 0.9 conceded. In past meetings, Real Colorado won 0, Utah United won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jun 28, 2026 ended 1:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.38 for Real Colorado and 2.50 for Utah United. This points to a Utah United double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Real Colorado
15%
Draws
60%
Utah United
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Utah United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

86% / Very High Confidence
  • Real Colorado picked up more points recently compared to Utah United.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.38 vs 2.50 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 77%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 92%
Over 2.5 Goals 77%
Over 3.5 Goals 46%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63%
Real Colorado Clean Sheet 10%
Utah United Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 83%
Second Half Goal 87%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real Colorado Utah United
Matches Played 16 30
Wins 5 18
Draws 1 6
Losses 10 6
Goals Scored 2 2.4
Goals Conceded 2.63 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.63 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 28, 2026 USL League Two
Real Colorado vs Utah United
1:3
May 28, 2026 USL League Two
Utah United vs Real Colorado
4:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Colorado 25 / 100
Utah United 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real Colorado Utah United

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Utah United Win (2)
Secondary Pick Utah United & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +47%
5.88
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.6%
1.41
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Real Colorado attacking → ← attacking Utah United

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Real Colorado scored in 88% of their last 16 games.

Utah United let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

Real Colorado went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Utah United lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

16 Points in last 5 60
2.13 Goals expected (xG) 2.38
2.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.63