Sport Picks
Real Cundinamarca vs Patriotas
Colombia
Primera B Estadio Municipal de Mosquera, Mosquera 
Match Events
14'
14'
Gomez M.
16'
16'
Arango E.
22'
22'
Acosta O.
AI Match Summary
The Primera B game between Real Cundinamarca and Patriotas finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Real Cundinamarca.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
57%
15%
28%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Real Cundinamarca
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- Real Cundinamarca carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Real Cundinamarca a 57% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Real Cundinamarca Clean Sheet 68%
Patriotas Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Real Cundinamarca | Patriotas |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 9 |
| Draws | 10 | 9 |
| Losses | 8 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.38 | 1.14 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.1 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 29, 2026 Primera B
Real Cundinamarca vs Patriotas
4:1
Feb 28, 2026 Primera B
Patriotas vs Real Cundinamarca
1:0
Nov 23, 2025 Primera B
Patriotas vs Real Cundinamarca
0:3
Nov 2, 2025 Primera B
Real Cundinamarca vs Patriotas
1:0
Sep 8, 2025 Primera B
Real Cundinamarca vs Patriotas
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Real Cundinamarca Compare
Top Goalscorer Rios C.
1 Goals Assists Leader Negrete C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Patriotas Compare
Top Goalscorer Gomez M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Real Cundinamarca 86 / 100
Patriotas 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Real Cundinamarca Patriotas
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Real Cundinamarca Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Real Cundinamarca found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).
Patriotas let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.
Games between these two average 2.20 goals.
Recent resilience: Real Cundinamarca stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Real Cundinamarca VS Patriotas
1.63 Goals Scored 1.5
1 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Real Cundinamarca
(Home) 02 Oct
Atletico F.C.
1 : 2 Real Cundinamarca
27 Sept
Barranquilla
0 : 1 Real Cundinamarca
21 Sept
Real Cundinamarca
3 : 1 Quindio
12 Sept
Real Cundinamarca
2 : 1 Union Magdalena
09 Sept
Real Cundinamarca
1 : 2 Inter Bogotá
Page 1 of 6
21 Sept
Real Cundinamarca
3 : 1 Quindio
12 Sept
Real Cundinamarca
2 : 1 Union Magdalena
09 Sept
Real Cundinamarca
1 : 2 Inter Bogotá
29 Aug
Real Cundinamarca
4 : 1 Patriotas
06 Aug
Real Cundinamarca
3 : 1 Boca Juniors de Cali
Page 1 of 3
Patriotas
(Away) 03 Oct
Patriotas
0 : 1 Independiente Valle del Cauca
26 Sept
Boca Juniors de Cali
4 : 1 Patriotas
18 Sept
Patriotas
1 : 2 Union Magdalena
13 Sept
Quindio
1 : 2 Patriotas
10 Sept
Patriotas
3 : 1 Barranquilla
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Boca Juniors de Cali
4 : 1 Patriotas
13 Sept
Quindio
1 : 2 Patriotas
29 Aug
Real Cundinamarca
4 : 1 Patriotas
31 Jul
Real Santander
2 : 2 Patriotas
20 May
Llaneros
3 : 1 Patriotas
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Cundinamarca | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 19:10 | 23 |
| 2 | Independiente Valle del Cauca | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 15:6 | 23 |
| 3 | Tigres Futbol Club | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 13:4 | 21 |
| 4 | Boca Juniors de Cali | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 17:13 | 17 |
| 5 | Patriotas | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 17:17 | 17 |
| 6 | Quindio | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 9:8 | 16 |
| 7 | Cartagena | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 19:14 | 15 |
| 8 | Atletico F.C. | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 13:17 | 14 |
| 9 | Inter Palmira | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 8:12 | 14 |
| 10 | Envigado | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 12:11 | 12 |
| 11 | Bogota | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 9:13 | 12 |
| 12 | Real Santander | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 13:18 | 12 |
| 13 | Union Magdalena | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 9:11 | 11 |
| 14 | Orsomarso | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 7:11 | 10 |
| 15 | Leones | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 7:16 | 9 |
| 16 | Barranquilla | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 10:16 | 8 |
Promotion - Primera B (Clausura - Quadrangular)
