Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Real Cundinamarca vs Real Santander - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Colombia Colombia

Primera B Estadio Municipal de Mosquera, Mosquera
Fri, Oct 9, 2026
VS
08:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Real Cundinamarca host Real Santander in the Primera B. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Real Santander have shipped 1.79 goals a game lately, while Real Cundinamarca have conceded 1.11 and scored 1.36. Past meetings favor Real Cundinamarca slightly — 4-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 14, 2026, ending 2:1. xG projections (1.31 - 1.06) back Real Cundinamarca to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Real Cundinamarca
30%
Draws
23%
Real Santander
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Real Cundinamarca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Real Cundinamarca lately — more wins on the board than Real Santander.
  • Win probability leans Real Cundinamarca's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Real Cundinamarca here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Real Cundinamarca Clean Sheet 20%
Real Santander Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real Cundinamarca Real Santander
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 10 3
Draws 10 10
Losses 8 15
Goals Scored 1.36 0.79
Goals Conceded 1.11 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2026 Primera B
Real Santander vs Real Cundinamarca
2:1
Jul 26, 2025 Primera B
Real Cundinamarca vs Real Santander
2:0
Feb 15, 2025 Primera B
Real Santander vs Real Cundinamarca
3:4
Jul 29, 2024 Primera B
Real Santander vs Real Cundinamarca
0:1
Feb 10, 2024 Primera B
Real Cundinamarca vs Real Santander
4:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Cundinamarca 67 / 100
Real Santander 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real Cundinamarca Real Santander

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Real Cundinamarca Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Real Santander's defensive record shows goals conceded in 89% of 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Real Cundinamarca scored in 79% of their last 28 games.

Real Cundinamarca went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Real Cundinamarca VS Real Santander
1.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Real Cundinamarca

(Home)
27 Sept
Barranquilla
0 : 1
Real Cundinamarca
21 Sept
Real Cundinamarca
3 : 1
Quindio
12 Sept
Real Cundinamarca
2 : 1
Union Magdalena
09 Sept
Real Cundinamarca
1 : 2
Inter Bogotá
03 Sept
Inter Palmira
0 : 2
Real Cundinamarca
Page 1 of 6

Real Santander

(Away)
26 Sept
Tigres Futbol Club
1 : 1
Real Santander
22 Sept
Real Santander
0 : 0
Orsomarso
13 Sept
Boca Juniors de Cali
2 : 0
Real Santander
05 Sept
Quindio
0 : 0
Real Santander
29 Aug
Real Santander
3 : 1
Inter Palmira
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Real Cundinamarca 10 6 2 2 17:9 20
2 Independiente Valle del Cauca 10 6 2 2 14:6 20
3 Tigres Futbol Club 10 5 3 2 12:4 18
4 Patriotas 10 5 2 3 17:16 17
5 Cartagena 10 4 3 3 17:11 15
6 Boca Juniors de Cali 9 4 2 3 14:11 14
7 Atletico F.C. 10 4 2 4 12:15 14
8 Inter Palmira 10 4 2 4 8:11 14
9 Quindio 10 3 4 3 8:8 13
10 Real Santander 10 2 6 2 12:15 12
11 Bogota 10 3 2 5 6:10 11
12 Envigado 9 2 4 3 9:8 10
13 Orsomarso 9 2 3 4 7:10 9
14 Leones 10 2 3 5 7:16 9
15 Union Magdalena 9 2 2 5 6:10 8
16 Barranquilla 10 2 2 6 10:16 8
Promotion - Primera B (Clausura - Quadrangular)