Sport Picks
Real Cundinamarca vs Union Magdalena
Colombia
Primera B Estadio Municipal de Mosquera, Mosquera 
Match Events
4'
4'
Cuellar K.
28'
28'
Blanco R.
(Penalty)
29'
29'
Blanco R.
AI Match Summary
The Primera B game between Real Cundinamarca and Union Magdalena finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Real Cundinamarca.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
54%
15%
31%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Real Cundinamarca
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
54%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Union Magdalena come out ahead of Real Cundinamarca on wins alone.
- 54% — that's where the model lands on Real Cundinamarca taking it.
- Regular Primera B form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Real Cundinamarca Clean Sheet 68%
Union Magdalena Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Real Cundinamarca | Union Magdalena |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 30 |
| Wins | 9 | 14 |
| Draws | 10 | 6 |
| Losses | 8 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.37 | 1.37 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.15 | 1.03 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 12, 2026 Primera B
Real Cundinamarca vs Union Magdalena
2:1
Mar 11, 2026 Primera B
Union Magdalena vs Real Cundinamarca
1:1
Nov 23, 2024 Primera B
Union Magdalena vs Real Cundinamarca
2:0
Oct 28, 2024 Primera B
Real Cundinamarca vs Union Magdalena
1:0
Sep 11, 2024 Primera B
Union Magdalena vs Real Cundinamarca
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Real Cundinamarca Compare
Top Goalscorer Cuellar K.
1 Goals Assists Leader Amaya J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Union Magdalena Compare
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Real Cundinamarca 95 / 100
Union Magdalena 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Real Cundinamarca Union Magdalena
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Real Cundinamarca Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Real Cundinamarca found the back of the net in 78% of recent matches (27 games).
Union Magdalena let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.
H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.
Real Cundinamarca has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Real Cundinamarca VS Union Magdalena
1.63 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Real Cundinamarca
(Home) 21 Sept
Real Cundinamarca
3 : 1 Quindio
12 Sept
Real Cundinamarca
2 : 1 Union Magdalena
09 Sept
Real Cundinamarca
1 : 2 Inter Bogotá
03 Sept
Inter Palmira
0 : 2 Real Cundinamarca
29 Aug
Real Cundinamarca
4 : 1 Patriotas
Page 1 of 6
21 Sept
Real Cundinamarca
3 : 1 Quindio
12 Sept
Real Cundinamarca
2 : 1 Union Magdalena
09 Sept
Real Cundinamarca
1 : 2 Inter Bogotá
29 Aug
Real Cundinamarca
4 : 1 Patriotas
06 Aug
Real Cundinamarca
3 : 1 Boca Juniors de Cali
Page 1 of 3
Union Magdalena
(Away) 25 Sept
Union Magdalena
1 : 1 Santa Fe
18 Sept
Patriotas
1 : 2 Union Magdalena
12 Sept
Real Cundinamarca
2 : 1 Union Magdalena
05 Sept
Union Magdalena
1 : 2 Barranquilla
01 Sept
Envigado
0 : 1 Union Magdalena
Page 1 of 6
18 Sept
Patriotas
1 : 2 Union Magdalena
12 Sept
Real Cundinamarca
2 : 1 Union Magdalena
01 Sept
Envigado
0 : 1 Union Magdalena
24 Aug
Tigres Futbol Club
1 : 0 Union Magdalena
06 Aug
Santa Fe
2 : 0 Union Magdalena
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tigres Futbol Club | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 12:4 | 18 |
| 2 | Real Cundinamarca | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 16:9 | 17 |
| 3 | Independiente Valle del Cauca | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 10:3 | 17 |
| 4 | Patriotas | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 17:16 | 17 |
| 5 | Cartagena | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 16:10 | 14 |
| 6 | Boca Juniors de Cali | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 14:11 | 14 |
| 7 | Atletico F.C. | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 12:12 | 14 |
| 8 | Real Santander | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 12:15 | 12 |
| 9 | Bogota | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 6:9 | 11 |
| 10 | Inter Palmira | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 7:11 | 11 |
| 11 | Quindio | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 7:8 | 10 |
| 12 | Orsomarso | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 4:6 | 9 |
| 13 | Leones | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7:15 | 9 |
| 14 | Barranquilla | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 10:15 | 8 |
| 15 | Envigado | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6:8 | 7 |
| 16 | Union Magdalena | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5:9 | 7 |
Promotion - Primera B (Clausura - Quadrangular)
