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Real du Cap vs Mirebalais

Haiti Haiti

Championnat National 2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mirebalais in this Championnat National 2021 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mirebalais.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Real du Cap
30%
Draws
52%
Mirebalais
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Mirebalais

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Real du Cap lately — more wins on the board than Mirebalais.
  • Model gives Mirebalais a 52% chance of winning this.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Championnat National 2021 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Real du Cap Clean Sheet 20%
Mirebalais Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real du Cap Mirebalais
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 11 6
Draws 6 15
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 1.17 0.66
Goals Conceded 0.97 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 19, 2021 Championnat National
Real du Cap vs Mirebalais
0:1
Sep 6, 2020 Championnat National
Mirebalais vs Real du Cap
1:1
Nov 24, 2019 Championnat National
Mirebalais vs Real du Cap
0:0
May 8, 2019 Championnat National
Real du Cap vs Mirebalais
1:0
Dec 2, 2018 Championnat National
Mirebalais vs Real du Cap
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real du Cap 28 / 100
Mirebalais 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real du Cap Mirebalais

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mirebalais Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Real du Cap scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Mirebalais has conceded goals in 62% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.40 goals when they meet.

Real du Cap went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Real du Cap VS Mirebalais
1 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Real du Cap

(Home)
29 May
Real du Cap
1 : 2
Rivartibonitienne
23 May
Juventus
2 : 1
Real du Cap
19 May
Real du Cap
0 : 1
Mirebalais
16 May
Real du Cap
2 : 0
Fica
13 May
Racing Haitien
4 : 0
Real du Cap
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Mirebalais

(Away)
30 May
Mirebalais
1 : 1
Cosmopolites
23 May
Racing Haitien
1 : 1
Mirebalais
19 May
Real du Cap
0 : 1
Mirebalais
09 May
AS Capoise
0 : 1
Mirebalais
06 May
Mirebalais
1 : 1
Don Bosco
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Don Bosco 8 4 4 0 14:5 16
2 Mirebalais 9 3 6 0 8:5 15
3 Ouanaminthe 9 4 3 2 8:6 15
4 Rivartibonitienne 9 3 5 1 7:6 14
5 Arcahaie 6 3 3 0 7:1 12
6 Cavaly 6 3 3 0 9:4 12
7 Fica 9 3 3 3 5:4 12
8 Tempete 8 3 3 2 7:8 12
9 AS Capoise 9 3 2 4 6:5 11
10 Triomphe Liancourt 8 2 4 2 8:6 10
11 Real du Cap 9 3 1 5 10:11 10
12 Violette 9 2 4 3 7:8 10
13 Racing des Gonaives 9 2 4 3 4:7 10
14 America des Cayes 7 2 2 3 7:7 8
15 Juventus 8 2 2 4 5:8 8
16 Baltimore 8 1 3 4 6:9 6
17 Racing Haitien 8 1 3 4 8:16 6
18 Cosmopolites 7 1 1 5 3:13 4
Promotion - Championnat National 2021 (Serie de Cloture - Play Offs)
Promotion - Championnat National 2021 (Serie de Cloture - Play Offs)