Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Real Forte Querceta vs Follonica Gavorrano

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group E 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Regoli V.
29' Event
Pignat A.
66' Event
Pegollo P.

AI Match Summary

Follonica Gavorrano in this Serie D - Group E 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Follonica Gavorrano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Real Forte Querceta
33%
Draws
40%
Follonica Gavorrano
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Follonica Gavorrano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Real Forte Querceta haven't matched Follonica Gavorrano's recent run of results.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Follonica Gavorrano taking it.
  • Regular Serie D - Group E 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Real Forte Querceta Clean Sheet 20%
Follonica Gavorrano Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real Forte Querceta Follonica Gavorrano
Matches Played 30 39
Wins 5 14
Draws 10 10
Losses 15 15
Goals Scored 0 1.25
Goals Conceded 0 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 28, 2024 Serie D - Group E
Follonica Gavorrano vs Real Forte Querceta
0:0
Dec 17, 2023 Serie D - Group E
Real Forte Querceta vs Follonica Gavorrano
1:2
Feb 24, 2019 Serie D - Group E
Real Forte Querceta vs Follonica Gavorrano
1:1
Nov 4, 2018 Serie D - Group E
Follonica Gavorrano vs Real Forte Querceta
0:0
Apr 2, 2017 Serie D - Group E
Real Forte Querceta vs Follonica Gavorrano
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Real Forte Querceta Compare

Top Goalscorer Pegollo P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Follonica Gavorrano Compare

Top Goalscorer Regoli V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pignat A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Forte Querceta 28 / 100
Follonica Gavorrano 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real Forte Querceta Follonica Gavorrano

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FLG Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Real Forte Querceta scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Follonica Gavorrano let in goals in 74% of their last 39 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Real Forte Querceta has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Follonica Gavorrano
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Pianese341911462:3568
2Follonica Gavorrano341811544:2565
3Grosseto341615353:3363
4Livorno341611749:3259
5Tau341513655:3158
6Seravezza Pozzi341761149:4057
7Poggibonsi341571248:4252
8Ghiviborgo341551454:5450
9Figline341213945:4349
10Sporting Trestina3411101343:4543
11Montevarchi3410131142:4143
12Sangiovannese3410121230:3742
13San Donato Tavarnelle341171630:3340
14Orvietana341081633:4438
15Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro345141524:4629
16Real Forte Querceta346101831:4628
17Mobilieri Ponsacco342141833:6020
18SC Cenaia343102129:6719