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Stadium Background

Real Forte Querceta vs Orvietana

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group E 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Proia D.
10' Event
Ricci L.
Own Goal
54' Event
Greco D.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group E 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Real Forte Querceta
33%
Draws
40%
Orvietana
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Orvietana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Orvietana have won more games recently than Real Forte Querceta.
  • Win probability leans Orvietana's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group E 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Real Forte Querceta Clean Sheet 22%
Orvietana Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real Forte Querceta Orvietana
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 5 9
Draws 10 12
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 0 1
Goals Conceded 0 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 23, 2024 Serie D - Group E
Real Forte Querceta vs Orvietana
2:2
Nov 12, 2023 Serie D - Group E
Orvietana vs Real Forte Querceta
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Real Forte Querceta Compare

Top Goalscorer Maccabruni M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Orvietana Compare

Top Goalscorer Proia D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Greco D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Forte Querceta 29 / 100
Orvietana 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real Forte Querceta Orvietana

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ORV Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Real Forte Querceta scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Real Forte Querceta stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Orvietana conceded in 56% of 32 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Orvietana
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Pianese341911462:3568
2Follonica Gavorrano341811544:2565
3Grosseto341615353:3363
4Livorno341611749:3259
5Tau341513655:3158
6Seravezza Pozzi341761149:4057
7Poggibonsi341571248:4252
8Ghiviborgo341551454:5450
9Figline341213945:4349
10Sporting Trestina3411101343:4543
11Montevarchi3410131142:4143
12Sangiovannese3410121230:3742
13San Donato Tavarnelle341171630:3340
14Orvietana341081633:4438
15Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro345141524:4629
16Real Forte Querceta346101831:4628
17Mobilieri Ponsacco342141833:6020
18SC Cenaia343102129:6719