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Real Forte Querceta vs Poggibonsi Prediction & H2H Stats

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Serie D - Group E 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Pegollo P.

AI Match Summary

Real Forte Querceta in this Serie D - Group E 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Real Forte Querceta.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Real Forte Querceta
35%
Draws
32%
Poggibonsi
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Poggibonsi lately — more wins on the board than Real Forte Querceta.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Serie D - Group E 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 26%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Real Forte Querceta Clean Sheet 20%
Poggibonsi Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real Forte Querceta Poggibonsi
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 5 7
Draws 10 9
Losses 15 16
Goals Scored 0.97 0.78
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.22
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 18, 2024 Serie D - Group E
Real Forte Querceta vs Poggibonsi
1:0
Oct 14, 2023 Serie D - Group E
Poggibonsi vs Real Forte Querceta
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Real Forte Querceta Compare

Top Goalscorer Pegollo P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Poggibonsi Compare

Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.62

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Forte Querceta 32 / 100
Poggibonsi 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real Forte Querceta Poggibonsi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Real Forte Querceta's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Poggibonsi conceded in 72% of 32 recent games.

Real Forte Querceta went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 0.50 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

- VS Poggibonsi
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Real Forte Querceta

(Home)
05 May
Real Forte Querceta
1 : 2
Seravezza Pozzi
28 Apr
Follonica Gavorrano
0 : 0
Real Forte Querceta
21 Apr
Real Forte Querceta
1 : 1
Tau
14 Apr
Grosseto
3 : 0
Real Forte Querceta
07 Apr
Real Forte Querceta
2 : 0
Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro
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Poggibonsi

(Away)
10 May
Orvietana
1 : 0
Poggibonsi
03 May
Poggibonsi
1 : 0
Scandicci
26 Apr
Cannara
3 : 2
Poggibonsi
19 Apr
Poggibonsi
0 : 0
Tau
12 Apr
Camaiore Calcio
1 : 1
Poggibonsi
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pianese 34 19 11 4 62:35 68
2 Follonica Gavorrano 34 18 11 5 44:25 65
3 Grosseto 34 16 15 3 53:33 63
4 Livorno 34 16 11 7 49:32 59
5 Tau 34 15 13 6 55:31 58
6 Seravezza Pozzi 34 17 6 11 49:40 57
7 Poggibonsi 34 15 7 12 48:42 52
8 Ghiviborgo 34 15 5 14 54:54 50
9 Figline 34 12 13 9 45:43 49
10 Sporting Trestina 34 11 10 13 43:45 43
11 Montevarchi 34 10 13 11 42:41 43
12 Sangiovannese 34 10 12 12 30:37 42
13 San Donato Tavarnelle 34 11 7 16 30:33 40
14 Orvietana 34 10 8 16 33:44 38
15 Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro 34 5 14 15 24:46 29
16 Real Forte Querceta 34 6 10 18 31:46 28
17 Mobilieri Ponsacco 34 2 14 18 33:60 20
18 SC Cenaia 34 3 10 21 29:67 19
Promotion - Serie D - Group E 2023/2024 (Play Offs)