Sport Picks

Italy

Serie D - Group E 2023/2024

Real Forte Querceta

2 - 1

SC Cenaia

Our Tip

Match Events

50'

Sanyang B.

64'

Pegollo P.

79'

Podesta C.

(Penalty)

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Real Forte Querceta in this Serie D - Group E 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Real Forte Querceta.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%

Real Forte Querceta

30%

Draws

34%

SC Cenaia

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Real Forte Querceta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence

SC Cenaia haven't matched Real Forte Querceta's recent run of results.
Model gives Real Forte Querceta a 36% chance of winning this.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 38%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%

Real Forte Querceta Clean Sheet 20%

SC Cenaia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Real Forte Querceta	SC Cenaia
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	5	2
Draws	10	9
Losses	15	19
Goals Scored	1	0.63
Goals Conceded	1.5	1.88
Expected Goals (xG)	1.00	0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.50	1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 14, 2024 Serie D - Group E

Real Forte Querceta vs SC Cenaia

Possession: 43% - 53% Cards: 3 - 0

2:1

Sep 17, 2023 Serie D - Group E

SC Cenaia vs Real Forte Querceta

Possession: 58% - 42% Cards: 4 - 2

3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Real Forte Querceta Compare

Top Goalscorer Pegollo P.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.77

Avg xA / game 0.5

SC Cenaia Compare

Top Goalscorer Sanyang B.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.57

Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Forte Querceta 36 / 100

SC Cenaia 33 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Real Forte Querceta SC Cenaia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: SC Cenaia conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Real Forte Querceta scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Real Forte Querceta went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Real Forte Querceta VS SC Cenaia

1 Goals Scored 0.63

1.5 Goals Conceded 1.88

75% Over 1.5 88%

50% Over 2.5 38%

25% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Pianese	34	19	11	4	62:35	68
2	Follonica Gavorrano	34	18	11	5	44:25	65
3	Grosseto	34	16	15	3	53:33	63
4	Livorno	34	16	11	7	49:32	59
5	Tau	34	15	13	6	55:31	58
6	Seravezza Pozzi	34	17	6	11	49:40	57
7	Poggibonsi	34	15	7	12	48:42	52
8	Ghiviborgo	34	15	5	14	54:54	50
9	Figline	34	12	13	9	45:43	49
10	Sporting Trestina	34	11	10	13	43:45	43
11	Montevarchi	34	10	13	11	42:41	43
12	Sangiovannese	34	10	12	12	30:37	42
13	San Donato Tavarnelle	34	11	7	16	30:33	40
14	Orvietana	34	10	8	16	33:44	38
15	Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro	34	5	14	15	24:46	29
16	Real Forte Querceta	34	6	10	18	31:46	28
17	Mobilieri Ponsacco	34	2	14	18	33:60	20
18	SC Cenaia	34	3	10	21	29:67	19