Sport Picks
Real Forte Querceta vs SC Cenaia Prediction & H2H Stats
Italy
Serie D - Group E 2023/2024 
Match Events
50'
50'
Sanyang B.
64'
64'
Pegollo P.
79'
79'
Podesta C.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
Real Forte Querceta in this Serie D - Group E 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Real Forte Querceta.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
35%
32%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- SC Cenaia haven't matched Real Forte Querceta's recent run of results.
- Model gives Real Forte Querceta a 36% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Real Forte Querceta Clean Sheet 20%
SC Cenaia Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Real Forte Querceta | SC Cenaia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 5 | 2 |
| Draws | 10 | 9 |
| Losses | 15 | 19 |
| Goals Scored | 0.97 | 0.83 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.37 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 14, 2024 Serie D - Group E
Real Forte Querceta vs SC Cenaia
2:1
Sep 17, 2023 Serie D - Group E
SC Cenaia vs Real Forte Querceta
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Real Forte Querceta Compare
Top Goalscorer Pegollo P.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
SC Cenaia Compare
Top Goalscorer Sanyang B.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Real Forte Querceta 36 / 100
SC Cenaia 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Real Forte Querceta SC Cenaia
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: SC Cenaia conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.
These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.
Real Forte Querceta scored in 67% of their last 30 games.
Real Forte Querceta went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Real Forte Querceta VS SC Cenaia
1 Goals Scored 0.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Real Forte Querceta
(Home) 05 May
Real Forte Querceta
1 : 2 Seravezza Pozzi
28 Apr
Follonica Gavorrano
0 : 0 Real Forte Querceta
21 Apr
Real Forte Querceta
1 : 1 Tau
14 Apr
Grosseto
3 : 0 Real Forte Querceta
07 Apr
Real Forte Querceta
2 : 0 Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro
Page 1 of 6
05 May
Real Forte Querceta
1 : 2 Seravezza Pozzi
21 Apr
Real Forte Querceta
1 : 1 Tau
07 Apr
Real Forte Querceta
2 : 0 Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro
23 Mar
Real Forte Querceta
2 : 2 Orvietana
10 Mar
Real Forte Querceta
0 : 0 San Donato Tavarnelle
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SC Cenaia
(Away) 05 May
Mobilieri Ponsacco
0 : 3 SC Cenaia
28 Apr
SC Cenaia
1 : 3 Ghiviborgo
21 Apr
Poggibonsi
4 : 1 SC Cenaia
14 Apr
SC Cenaia
1 : 1 Sangiovannese
07 Apr
Sporting Trestina
1 : 1 SC Cenaia
Page 1 of 6
05 May
Mobilieri Ponsacco
0 : 3 SC Cenaia
21 Apr
Poggibonsi
4 : 1 SC Cenaia
07 Apr
Sporting Trestina
1 : 1 SC Cenaia
24 Mar
Figline
3 : 0 SC Cenaia
17 Mar
Seravezza Pozzi
1 : 0 SC Cenaia
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pianese | 34 | 19 | 11 | 4 | 62:35 | 68 |
| 2 | Follonica Gavorrano | 34 | 18 | 11 | 5 | 44:25 | 65 |
| 3 | Grosseto | 34 | 16 | 15 | 3 | 53:33 | 63 |
| 4 | Livorno | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 49:32 | 59 |
| 5 | Tau | 34 | 15 | 13 | 6 | 55:31 | 58 |
| 6 | Seravezza Pozzi | 34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 49:40 | 57 |
| 7 | Poggibonsi | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 48:42 | 52 |
| 8 | Ghiviborgo | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 54:54 | 50 |
| 9 | Figline | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 45:43 | 49 |
| 10 | Sporting Trestina | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 43:45 | 43 |
| 11 | Montevarchi | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 42:41 | 43 |
| 12 | Sangiovannese | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 30:37 | 42 |
| 13 | San Donato Tavarnelle | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 30:33 | 40 |
| 14 | Orvietana | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 33:44 | 38 |
| 15 | Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro | 34 | 5 | 14 | 15 | 24:46 | 29 |
| 16 | Real Forte Querceta | 34 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 31:46 | 28 |
| 17 | Mobilieri Ponsacco | 34 | 2 | 14 | 18 | 33:60 | 20 |
| 18 | SC Cenaia | 34 | 3 | 10 | 21 | 29:67 | 19 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group E 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
