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Real Forte Querceta vs Tau Prediction & H2H Stats

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Serie D - Group E 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Meucci M.
28'
Quilici N.
35' Event
Pegollo P.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group E 2023/2024 game between Real Forte Querceta and Tau finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Real Forte Querceta
20%
Draws
51%
Tau
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Tau

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Tau carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Real Forte Querceta a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Real Forte Querceta Clean Sheet 20%
Tau Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real Forte Querceta Tau
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 5 14
Draws 10 8
Losses 15 9
Goals Scored 0.97 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 21, 2024 Serie D - Group E
Real Forte Querceta vs Tau
1:1
Dec 10, 2023 Serie D - Group E
Tau vs Real Forte Querceta
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Real Forte Querceta Compare

Top Goalscorer Pegollo P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Tau Compare

Top Goalscorer Meucci M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.55

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Forte Querceta 42 / 100
Tau 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real Forte Querceta Tau

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tau has conceded goals in 81% of their last 31 outings.

Real Forte Querceta scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Real Forte Querceta remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Tau
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Real Forte Querceta

(Home)
05 May
Real Forte Querceta
1 : 2
Seravezza Pozzi
28 Apr
Follonica Gavorrano
0 : 0
Real Forte Querceta
21 Apr
Real Forte Querceta
1 : 1
Tau
14 Apr
Grosseto
3 : 0
Real Forte Querceta
07 Apr
Real Forte Querceta
2 : 0
Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro
Page 1 of 6

Tau

(Away)
27 Sept
Tau
3 : 2
Rondinella
20 Sept
Ternana
3 : 0
Tau
16 Sept
Tau
3 : 2
Siena
12 Sept
Montevarchi
4 : 1
Tau
06 Sept
Tau
2 : 1
SCD Progresso
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pianese 34 19 11 4 62:35 68
2 Follonica Gavorrano 34 18 11 5 44:25 65
3 Grosseto 34 16 15 3 53:33 63
4 Livorno 34 16 11 7 49:32 59
5 Tau 34 15 13 6 55:31 58
6 Seravezza Pozzi 34 17 6 11 49:40 57
7 Poggibonsi 34 15 7 12 48:42 52
8 Ghiviborgo 34 15 5 14 54:54 50
9 Figline 34 12 13 9 45:43 49
10 Sporting Trestina 34 11 10 13 43:45 43
11 Montevarchi 34 10 13 11 42:41 43
12 Sangiovannese 34 10 12 12 30:37 42
13 San Donato Tavarnelle 34 11 7 16 30:33 40
14 Orvietana 34 10 8 16 33:44 38
15 Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro 34 5 14 15 24:46 29
16 Real Forte Querceta 34 6 10 18 31:46 28
17 Mobilieri Ponsacco 34 2 14 18 33:60 20
18 SC Cenaia 34 3 10 21 29:67 19
Promotion - Serie D - Group E 2023/2024 (Play Offs)