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Real Hope vs Racing des Gonaives

Haiti Haiti

Championnat National 2024
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Match Events

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No live events recorded yet.

AI Match Summary

Real Hope play Racing des Gonaives in the Championnat National 2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Real Hope averaged 1.63 goals scored and 0.75 conceded. Racing des Gonaives averaged 1 goals scored and 0 conceded. In past meetings, Real Hope won 2, Racing des Gonaives won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 14, 2024 ended 3:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.42 for Real Hope and 0.88 for Racing des Gonaives. This points to a Real Hope double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Real Hope
20%
Draws
38%
Racing des Gonaives
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Real Hope

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Real Hope has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Racing des Gonaives.
  • Model forecasts a 42% win probability edge for Real Hope.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Championnat National 2024 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Real Hope Clean Sheet 20%
Racing des Gonaives Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real Hope Racing des Gonaives
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 14 7
Draws 4 12
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.63 1
Goals Conceded 0.75 0
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 14, 2024 Championnat National
Real Hope vs Racing des Gonaives
3:1
Mar 17, 2024 Championnat National
Racing des Gonaives vs Real Hope
1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Hope 42 / 100
Racing des Gonaives 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real Hope Racing des Gonaives

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Real Hope scored in 63% of their last 27 games.

Racing des Gonaives let in goals in 50% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Real Hope went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Racing des Gonaives lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Real Hope VS Racing des Gonaives
1.63 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Real Hope850310:515
2Ouanaminthe84136:613
3Racing des Gonaives83329:812
4AS Capoise83236:611
5Fica81252:85
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Cosmopolites83325:412
2Baltimore83324:312
3Tempete82514:311
4Triomphe Liancourt82333:59
5Rivartibonitienne82243:48
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1America des Cayes642015:314
2Cavaly62318:79
3Racing Haitien61323:96
4Juventus60242:92
5Violette00000:00