Sport Picks

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Real Madrid B vs Alcorcon

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

79' Event
Manuel Angel
85' Event
Carmona M.
88'

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Club Friendly 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Real Madrid B
35%
Draws
35%
Alcorcon
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Real Madrid B have won more games recently than Alcorcon.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 37%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Real Madrid B Clean Sheet 20%
Alcorcon Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real Madrid B Alcorcon
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 9
Draws 13 14
Losses 7 7
Goals Scored 1.53 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.23 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2025 Club Friendly
Real Madrid B vs Alcorcon
1:1
Feb 22, 2025 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Real Madrid B vs Alcorcon
2:1
Oct 20, 2024 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Alcorcon vs Real Madrid B
2:1
Feb 5, 2023 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Real Madrid B vs Alcorcon
1:1
Oct 2, 2022 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Alcorcon vs Real Madrid B
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Real Madrid B Compare

Top Goalscorer Manuel Angel
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Alcorcon Compare

Top Goalscorer Carmona M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Madrid B 32 / 100
Alcorcon 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real Madrid B Alcorcon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Real Madrid B's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Alcorcon's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Solid form: Real Madrid B remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Real Madrid B VS Alcorcon
1.13 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Real Madrid B

(Home)
12 Sept
Aguilas FC
1 : 0
Real Madrid B
05 Sept
Real Madrid B
2 : 0
Torremolinos
31 Aug
Teruel
0 : 0
Real Madrid B
20 Aug
Real Madrid B
0 : 1
Zamora
19 Aug
Ponferradina
2 : 2
Real Madrid B
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Alcorcon

(Away)
20 Sept
Alcorcon
3 : 0
Gimnastic de Tarragona
12 Sept
Antequera
1 : 1
Alcorcon
06 Sept
Alcorcon
0 : 0
CE Europa
30 Aug
Aguilas FC
2 : 2
Alcorcon
18 Aug
Unionistas de Salamanca
1 : 0
Alcorcon
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