Sport Picks

Spain

Primera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 Alfredo di Stéfano Stadium

Real Madrid B

1 - 1

Ourense CF

Our Tip

Match Events

23'

Benito S.

35'

Aranzabe A.

46'

Sub

Ciria A. In: Fettal R.

Out: Ciria A.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Primera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 game between Real Madrid B and Ourense CF finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%

Real Madrid B

30%

Draws

34%

Ourense CF

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Real Madrid B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence

Real Madrid B carry the better recent record into this one.
Model gives Real Madrid B a 36% chance of winning this.
Regular Primera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 38%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%

Real Madrid B Clean Sheet 16%

Ourense CF Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Real Madrid B	Ourense CF
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	11	10
Draws	10	8
Losses	9	12
Goals Scored	2.38	1.38
Goals Conceded	1.5	1.63
Expected Goals (xG)	2.38	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.50	1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 14, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 1

Real Madrid B vs Ourense CF

Possession: 46% - 41% Cards: 2 - 1

1:1

Oct 19, 2025 Primera RFEF - Group 1

Ourense CF vs Real Madrid B

Possession: 48% - 59% Cards: 2 - 4

1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Real Madrid B Compare

Top Goalscorer Navascues L.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.83

Avg xA / game 1.19

Ourense CF Compare

Top Goalscorer Benito S.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Madrid B 36 / 100

Ourense CF 33 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Real Madrid B Ourense CF

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Real Madrid B's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Ourense CF has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Real Madrid B has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Real Madrid B VS Ourense CF

2.38 Goals Scored 1.38

1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63

88% Over 1.5 75%

75% Over 2.5 63%

50% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Tenerife	38	22	10	6	62:24	76
2	Celta Vigo B	38	18	11	9	61:48	65
3	Zamora	38	17	10	11	53:42	61
4	Ponferradina	38	17	9	12	43:33	60
5	Real Madrid B	38	16	10	12	61:52	58
6	Pontevedra	38	14	16	8	49:31	58
7	Barakaldo	38	15	13	10	51:38	58
8	Unionistas de Salamanca	38	15	11	12	53:49	56
9	Lugo	38	13	14	11	36:40	53
10	AD Merida	38	14	10	14	47:53	52
11	Arenas Getxo	38	15	7	16	46:55	52
12	Racing Club Ferrol	38	13	10	15	41:47	49
13	Ath Bilbao B	38	13	10	15	38:46	49
14	Real Aviles	38	11	11	16	55:67	44
15	Cacereno	38	10	14	14	42:49	44
16	CF Talavera	38	11	10	17	38:47	43
17	Ourense CF	38	10	13	15	44:47	43
18	Guadalajara	38	10	11	17	44:58	41
19	Osasuna B	38	10	10	18	28:42	40
20	Arenteiro	38	6	10	22	29:53	28