Sport Picks

Spain

Primera Federacion Women 2025/2026 Alfredo di Stéfano Stadium

Tenerife B W

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Real Madrid B W play Tenerife B W in the Primera Federacion Women 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Real Madrid B W averaged 1.37 goals scored and 1.1 conceded. Tenerife B W averaged 1.31 goals scored and 1.38 conceded. In past meetings, Real Madrid B W won 1, Tenerife B W won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 15, 2026 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.31 for Real Madrid B W and 0.76 for Tenerife B W. This points to a Real Madrid B W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%

Real Madrid B W

20%

Draws

38%

Tenerife B W

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Real Madrid B W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

Real Madrid B W picked up more points recently compared to Tenerife B W.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.31 vs 0.76 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 79%

Over 2.5 Goals 55%

Over 3.5 Goals 33%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 60%

Real Madrid B W Clean Sheet 27%

Tenerife B W Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 71%

Second Half Goal 75%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Real Madrid B W	Tenerife B W
Matches Played	30	26
Wins	14	11
Draws	5	6
Losses	11	9
Goals Scored	1.37	1.31
Goals Conceded	1.1	1.38
Expected Goals (xG)	1.38	0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.63	1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 Primera Federacion Women

Real Madrid B W vs Tenerife B W

Possession: 50% - 57% Cards: 3 - 3

2:1

Oct 18, 2025 Primera Federacion Women

Tenerife B W vs Real Madrid B W

Possession: 53% - 40% Cards: 2 - 2

2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Real Madrid B W Compare

Top Goalscorer Casquero B.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Cristobal S.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.06

Avg xA / game 0.69

Tenerife B W Compare

Top Goalscorer Mendez A.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.8

Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Madrid B W 43 / 100

Tenerife B W 36 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Real Madrid B W Tenerife B W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Real Madrid B W or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +23.5%

2.94

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +12.2%

2.04

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Real Madrid B W attacking → ← attacking Tenerife B W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Real Madrid B W scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Tenerife B W let in goals in 85% of their last 26 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Real Madrid B W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Tenerife B W lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

47 Points in last 5 39

1.38 Goals expected (xG) 0.88

0.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Barcelona B W	26	18	4	4	67:26	58
2	Alaves W	26	17	5	4	44:15	56
3	Valencia W	26	12	10	4	35:18	46
4	Real Madrid B W	26	12	5	9	35:27	41
5	Tenerife B W	26	11	6	9	34:36	39
6	Villarreal W	26	10	8	8	35:31	38
7	CA Osasuna W	26	9	6	11	30:26	33
8	Albacete W	26	8	9	9	25:33	33
9	Cacereno W	26	8	7	11	22:33	31
10	Atl. Madrid B W	26	8	7	11	26:32	31
11	SE AEM W	26	8	6	12	26:36	30
12	CE Europa W	26	6	5	15	29:47	23
13	Betis W	26	5	8	13	24:48	23
14	Real Oviedo W	26	4	6	16	18:42	18