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Real Madrid C vs Villanueva del Pardillo CF

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Aparicio E.
28' Event
Aparicio E.
44' Event
Ruiz D.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2023/2024 game between Real Madrid C and Villanueva del Pardillo CF finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Real Madrid C.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Real Madrid C
6%
Draws
4%
Villanueva del Pardillo CF
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Real Madrid C

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Real Madrid C carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Real Madrid C are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Real Madrid C Clean Sheet 68%
Villanueva del Pardillo CF Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real Madrid C Villanueva del Pardillo CF
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 9 8
Draws 8 10
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 1 0
Goals Conceded 2.13 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 18, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Villanueva del Pardillo CF vs Real Madrid C
0:0
Oct 1, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Real Madrid C vs Villanueva del Pardillo CF
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Real Madrid C Compare

Top Goalscorer Aparicio E.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Ruiz D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Villanueva del Pardillo CF Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Madrid C 95 / 100
Villanueva del Pardillo CF 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real Madrid C Villanueva del Pardillo CF

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick REA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Real Madrid C scored in 74% of their last 31 games.

Villanueva del Pardillo CF's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Recent resilience: Real Madrid C stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Real Madrid C VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
2.13 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Real Madrid C34237462:1876
2CD Mostoles341712557:3363
3Leganes B341610847:3358
4CD Las Rozas3413111051:3950
5Colonia Moscardo341481248:4850
6RSD Alcala341391252:4748
7Tres Cantos341461445:4848
8Alcorcon B3411121136:3345
9AD Torrejon34917840:3844
10Galapagar3410111344:5541
11Paracuellos Antamira3410101439:4740
12Trival Valderas348161033:4040
13Canillas3410101435:4640
14Collado Villalba341091542:4639
15Rayo Vallecano B341161743:5739
16Parla349111437:4738
17Villanueva del Pardillo CF348111527:3935
18Pozuelo de Alarcon345141528:5229