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Real Madrid C vs Villanueva del Pardillo CF Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Aparicio E.
28' Event
Aparicio E.
44' Event
Ruiz D.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2023/2024 game between Real Madrid C and Villanueva del Pardillo CF finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Real Madrid C.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Real Madrid C
30%
Draws
12%
Villanueva del Pardillo CF
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Real Madrid C

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Real Madrid C carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Real Madrid C are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Real Madrid C Clean Sheet 68%
Villanueva del Pardillo CF Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real Madrid C Villanueva del Pardillo CF
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 11 8
Draws 7 10
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1.06 0.87
Goals Conceded 1.16 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 18, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Villanueva del Pardillo CF vs Real Madrid C
0:0
Oct 1, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Real Madrid C vs Villanueva del Pardillo CF
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Real Madrid C Compare

Top Goalscorer Aparicio E.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Ruiz D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Villanueva del Pardillo CF Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Madrid C 50 / 100
Villanueva del Pardillo CF 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real Madrid C Villanueva del Pardillo CF

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Real Madrid C Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Real Madrid C scored in 61% of their last 31 games.

Villanueva del Pardillo CF's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Recent resilience: Real Madrid C stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Real Madrid C VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Real Madrid C

(Home)
03 Oct
Atletico Paso
1 : 0
Real Madrid C
27 Sept
Atl. Madrid C
2 : 0
Real Madrid C
13 Sept
CF Talavera
0 : 0
Real Madrid C
06 Sept
Real Madrid C
0 : 0
Albacete B
29 Aug
Gimnastica Segoviana
0 : 1
Real Madrid C
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Villanueva del Pardillo CF

(Away)
12 May
Villanueva del Pardillo CF
1 : 2
Tres Cantos
05 May
Canillas
2 : 0
Villanueva del Pardillo CF
01 May
Villanueva del Pardillo CF
0 : 1
Rayo Vallecano B
28 Apr
Villanueva del Pardillo CF
1 : 1
Colonia Moscardo
21 Apr
Trival Valderas
2 : 0
Villanueva del Pardillo CF
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Real Madrid C 34 23 7 4 62:18 76
2 CD Mostoles 34 17 12 5 57:33 63
3 Leganes B 34 16 10 8 47:33 58
4 CD Las Rozas 34 13 11 10 51:39 50
5 Colonia Moscardo 34 14 8 12 48:48 50
6 RSD Alcala 34 13 9 12 52:47 48
7 Tres Cantos 34 14 6 14 45:48 48
8 Alcorcon B 34 11 12 11 36:33 45
9 AD Torrejon 34 9 17 8 40:38 44
10 Galapagar 34 10 11 13 44:55 41
11 Paracuellos Antamira 34 10 10 14 39:47 40
12 Trival Valderas 34 8 16 10 33:40 40
13 Canillas 34 10 10 14 35:46 40
14 Collado Villalba 34 10 9 15 42:46 39
15 Rayo Vallecano B 34 11 6 17 43:57 39
16 Parla 34 9 11 14 37:47 38
17 Villanueva del Pardillo CF 34 8 11 15 27:39 35
18 Pozuelo de Alarcon 34 5 14 15 28:52 29
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2023/2024 (Play Offs)