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Real Madrid U19 vs Chelsea U19 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe Europe

UEFA Youth League 2025/2026 Alfredo di Stéfano Stadium, Madrid
Real Madrid U19 Logo

Real Madrid U19

1 - 0
FT
Chelsea U19 Logo

Chelsea U19

Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Yanez D.
Assist: Diez Pagonessa C. J.
59'
Aguado D.
62'
Derry J.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with Real Madrid U19 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Real Madrid U19
15%
Draws
34%
Chelsea U19
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Real Madrid U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Real Madrid U19 come out ahead of Chelsea U19 on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Real Madrid U19 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Chelsea U19, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Real Madrid U19 Clean Sheet 10%
Chelsea U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real Madrid U19 Chelsea U19
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 22 12
Draws 2 7
Losses 6 10
Goals Scored 2.1 2.14
Goals Conceded 0.83 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 25, 2026 UEFA Youth League
Real Madrid U19 vs Chelsea U19
1:0
Mar 14, 2018 UEFA Youth League
Real Madrid U19 vs Chelsea U19
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Real Madrid U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Yanez D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Chelsea U19 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Madrid U19 30 / 100
Chelsea U19 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real Madrid U19 Chelsea U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Real Madrid U19 scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

Chelsea U19's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Solid form: Real Madrid U19 remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Real Madrid U19 VS Chelsea U19
2.38 Goals Scored 3.13
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Real Madrid U19

(Home)
19 Sept
Real Madrid U19
3 : 1
S. Wanderers U20
08 Sept
Real Madrid U19
3 : 0
Inter U19
20 Apr
Club Brugge U19
1 : 2
Real Madrid U19
17 Apr
Real Madrid U19
2 : 1
PSG U19
18 Mar
Real Madrid U19
2 : 1
Sporting CP U19
Page 1 of 6

Chelsea U19

(Away)
25 Feb
Real Madrid U19
1 : 0
Chelsea U19
03 Feb
Chelsea U19
2 : 1
PSV U19
09 Dec
Atalanta U19
1 : 3
Chelsea U19
25 Nov
Chelsea U19
1 : 1
Barcelona U19
05 Nov
Qarabag Agdam U19
0 : 5
Chelsea U19
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Koln U19 1
Inter U19 3
Betis U19 5
Tottenham U19 1
Benfica U19 3
Slavia Prague U19 2
AZ Alkmaar U19 4
Dortmund U19 0
Dynamo Kyiv U19 2
Atl. Madrid U19 6
Maccabi Haifa U19 3
Barcelona U19 2
Zilina U19 2
Liverpool U19 1
Club Brugge U19 3
Monaco U19 2
Real Madrid U19 5
Marseille U19 2
Chelsea U19 2
PSV U19 1
Ath Bilbao U19 2
Eintracht Frankfurt U19 3
Puskas Akademia U19 1
Sporting CP U19 2
Villarreal U19 3
Leverkusen U19 2
Legia U19 2
Ajax U19 1
Din. Minsk U19 0
PSG U19 4
HJK U19 4
Manchester City U19 3
1/8-finals
Inter U19 5
Betis U19 3
Benfica U19 6
AZ Alkmaar U19 2
Atl. Madrid U19 2
Maccabi Haifa U19 1
Zilina U19 0
Club Brugge U19 1
Real Madrid U19 1
Chelsea U19 0
Eintracht Frankfurt U19 0
Sporting CP U19 1
Villarreal U19 2
Legia U19 1
PSG U19 6
HJK U19 1
Quarter-finals
Inter U19 2
Benfica U19 3
Atl. Madrid U19 0
Club Brugge U19 4
Real Madrid U19 2
Sporting CP U19 1
Villarreal U19 0
PSG U19 1
Semi-finals
Benfica U19 1
Club Brugge U19 3
Real Madrid U19 2
PSG U19 1
Final
Club Brugge U19 1
Real Madrid U19 2