Sport Picks
Real Madrid vs Villarreal
Spain
LaLiga Estadio Santiago Bernabéu, Madrid 
AI Match Summary
Real Madrid host Villarreal in the LaLiga. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Real Madrid have averaged 2.1 scored and 1.16 conceded recently, against Villarreal's 1.88 scored and 1.45 conceded. Head-to-head, Real Madrid have won 4 to Villarreal's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Jan 24, 2026, ending 0:2. Model xG sits at 2.06 vs 1.19, favoring Real Madrid. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Form's been kind to Real Madrid lately — more wins on the board than Villarreal.
- Model gives Real Madrid a 51% chance of winning this.
- Regular LaLiga form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Real Madrid have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Real Madrid | Villarreal |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 33 |
| Wins | 20 | 16 |
| Draws | 3 | 6 |
| Losses | 8 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 2.1 | 1.88 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.16 | 1.45 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.06 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Real Madrid scored in 90% of their last 31 games.
Villarreal's defensive record shows goals conceded in 91% of 33 matches.
These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.
Real Madrid went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Real Madrid
(Home)Villarreal
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 31:7 | 21 |
| 2 | Atl. Madrid | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 16:7 | 16 |
| 3 | Betis | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 9:7 | 16 |
| 4 | Real Madrid | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 18:8 | 15 |
| 5 | Sevilla | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10:9 | 13 |
| 6 | Alaves | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11:6 | 11 |
| 7 | Dep. A Coruna | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 10:8 | 10 |
| 8 | Real Sociedad | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9:13 | 10 |
| 9 | Villarreal | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 13:12 | 8 |
| 10 | Ath Bilbao | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:6 | 8 |
| 11 | Getafe | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4:7 | 8 |
| 12 | Rayo Vallecano | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11:16 | 8 |
| 13 | Osasuna | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6:13 | 8 |
| 14 | Celta Vigo | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 8:6 | 7 |
| 15 | Espanyol | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10:10 | 7 |
| 16 | Racing Santander | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 11:21 | 7 |
| 17 | Levante | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8:12 | 5 |
| 18 | Elche | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 11:17 | 5 |
| 19 | Valencia | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4:13 | 4 |
| 20 | Malaga | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3:12 | 3 |
