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Real Madrid W vs Atl. Madrid W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Liga F Women Alfredo di Stéfano Stadium, Madrid
Real Madrid W Logo

Real Madrid W

3 - 2
FT
Atl. Madrid W Logo

Atl. Madrid W

Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Schroder F.
Assist: Keukelaar L.
15' Event
Toletti S.
23'
Perez X.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Liga F Women game between Real Madrid W and Atl. Madrid W finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Real Madrid W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Real Madrid W
20%
Draws
42%
Atl. Madrid W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Atl. Madrid W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Real Madrid W come out ahead of Atl. Madrid W on wins alone.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Liga F Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Real Madrid W have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Real Madrid W Clean Sheet 20%
Atl. Madrid W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real Madrid W Atl. Madrid W
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 22 14
Draws 4 4
Losses 5 12
Goals Scored 1.97 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.32 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Liga F Women
Real Madrid W vs Atl. Madrid W
3:2
May 10, 2026 Liga F Women
Real Madrid W vs Atl. Madrid W
1:0
Jan 20, 2026 Super Cup Women
Real Madrid W vs Atl. Madrid W
3:1
Sep 5, 2025 Liga F Women
Atl. Madrid W vs Real Madrid W
2:1
Jan 5, 2025 Liga F Women
Atl. Madrid W vs Real Madrid W
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Real Madrid W Compare

Top Goalscorer Schroder F.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Toletti S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Atl. Madrid W Compare

Top Goalscorer Jensen S.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Madrid W 32 / 100
Atl. Madrid W 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real Madrid W Atl. Madrid W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Real Madrid W scored in 87% of their last 31 games.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Atl. Madrid W has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: Real Madrid W remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Real Madrid W VS Atl. Madrid W
2 Goals Scored 1.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Real Madrid W

(Home)
04 Oct
Barcelona W
7 : 0
Real Madrid W
01 Oct
Manchester City W
1 : 1
Real Madrid W
26 Sept
Real Sociedad W
3 : 5
Real Madrid W
22 Sept
Real Madrid W
1 : 1
PSG W
19 Sept
Real Madrid W
3 : 1
Valencia W
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Atl. Madrid W

(Away)
03 Oct
Dep. A Coruna W
1 : 2
Atl. Madrid W
27 Sept
Athletic Bilbao W
3 : 2
Atl. Madrid W
19 Sept
Atl. Madrid W
1 : 0
Logrono W
12 Sept
Barcelona W
4 : 2
Atl. Madrid W
06 Sept
Atl. Madrid W
1 : 0
Alaves W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barcelona W 6 6 0 0 28:2 18
2 Madrid CFF W 6 4 1 1 11:9 13
3 Real Madrid W 6 4 1 1 13:13 13
4 Athletic Bilbao W 6 3 2 1 11:8 11
5 Eibar W 6 3 2 1 4:4 11
6 Atl. Madrid W 6 3 0 3 10:11 9
7 Espanyol W 6 2 2 2 9:6 8
8 Badalona W 6 2 2 2 9:8 8
9 Costa Adeje Tenerife W 6 2 2 2 6:11 8
10 Sevilla W 6 2 1 3 7:10 7
11 Granada CF W 6 2 1 3 5:9 7
12 Logrono W 6 2 0 4 5:7 6
13 Alaves W 6 2 0 4 3:9 6
14 Dep. A Coruna W 6 1 2 3 5:6 5
15 Real Sociedad W 6 1 2 3 7:11 5
16 Valencia W 6 0 0 6 4:13 0
Relegation - Primera Federacion Women 2027/2028 (Main)