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Real Madrid W vs PSG W Prediction & H2H Stats

Europe Europe

UEFA Champions League Women Alfredo di Stéfano Stadium, Madrid
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Schroder F.
Assist: Caruso A.
8'
Senss E.
41'
Karchaoui S.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this UEFA Champions League Women matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Real Madrid W
30%
Draws
38%
PSG W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: PSG W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • PSG W haven't matched Real Madrid W's recent run of results.
  • 38% — that's where the model lands on PSG W taking it.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Real Madrid W Clean Sheet 16%
PSG W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real Madrid W PSG W
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 21 20
Draws 3 5
Losses 4 5
Goals Scored 1.93 2.1
Goals Conceded 1.04 0.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 22, 2026 UEFA Champions League Women
Real Madrid W vs PSG W
1:1
Oct 16, 2025 UEFA Champions League Women
PSG W vs Real Madrid W
1:2
Dec 16, 2022 UEFA Champions League Women
PSG W vs Real Madrid W
2:1
Oct 26, 2022 UEFA Champions League Women
Real Madrid W vs PSG W
0:0
Nov 18, 2021 UEFA Champions League Women
Real Madrid W vs PSG W
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Real Madrid W Compare

Top Goalscorer Schroder F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

PSG W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Madrid W 28 / 100
PSG W 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real Madrid W PSG W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PSG W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:5
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Real Madrid W scored in 89% of their last 28 games.

Recent resilience: Real Madrid W stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

PSG W has conceded goals in 53% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Real Madrid W VS PSG W
2 Goals Scored 2.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Real Madrid W

(Home)
22 Sept
Real Madrid W
1 : 1
PSG W
19 Sept
Real Madrid W
3 : 1
Valencia W
11 Sept
Dep. A Coruna W
0 : 2
Real Madrid W
06 Sept
Real Madrid W
0 : 0
Eibar W
02 Sept
Real Madrid W
2 : 1
Ajax W
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PSG W

(Away)
22 Sept
Real Madrid W
1 : 1
PSG W
18 Sept
PSG W
1 : 0
Nantes W
11 Sept
PSG W
2 : 0
Strasbourg W
05 Sept
Lens W
0 : 2
PSG W
02 Sept
PSG W
5 : 1
Eintracht Frankfurt W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 OL Lyonnes W 1 1 0 0 8:0 3
2 Barcelona W 1 1 0 0 5:2 3
3 SL Benfica W 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
4 Arsenal W 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
5 Chelsea W 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
6 Inter W 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
7 Manchester City W 1 0 1 0 2:2 1
8 Bayern Munich W 1 0 1 0 2:2 1
9 PSG W 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
10 Real Madrid W 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
11 Leuven W 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
12 AS Roma W 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
13 Juventus W 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
14 Austria Vienna W 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
15 Hacken W 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
16 Koge W 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
17 Paris FC W 1 0 0 1 2:5 0
18 Servette W 1 0 0 1 0:8 0
Promotion - UEFA Champions League Women (Play Offs: 1/4-finals)
Promotion - UEFA Champions League Women (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)