Sport Picks
Real Madrid W vs Valencia W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Spain
Liga F Women Alfredo di Stéfano Stadium, Madrid 
Match Events
26'
26'
Senss E.
Assist: Beerensteyn L.
31'
31'
Schroder F.
Assist: Andersson B.
37'
37'
Perez Sanchez L.
AI Match Summary
The Liga F Women game between Real Madrid W and Valencia W finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Real Madrid W.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
80%
20%
0%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Real Madrid W
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
80%
/ Very High Confidence
- Real Madrid W carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Real Madrid W's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Real Madrid W here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Real Madrid W Clean Sheet 20%
Valencia W Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Real Madrid W | Valencia W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 36 | 29 |
| Wins | 26 | 9 |
| Draws | 4 | 9 |
| Losses | 6 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 2.03 | 1.34 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.17 | 1.34 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.19 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 19, 2026 Liga F Women
Real Madrid W vs Valencia W
3:1
May 18, 2025 Liga F Women
Valencia W vs Real Madrid W
2:2
Oct 4, 2024 Liga F Women
Real Madrid W vs Valencia W
1:0
Feb 3, 2024 Liga F Women
Real Madrid W vs Valencia W
7:1
Sep 15, 2023 Liga F Women
Valencia W vs Real Madrid W
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Real Madrid W Compare
Top Goalscorer Senss E.
1 Goals Assists Leader Schroder F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09
Valencia W Compare
Top Goalscorer Marcano D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Real Madrid W 85 / 100
Valencia W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Real Madrid W Valencia W
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Real Madrid W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Real Madrid W found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (36 games).
Games between these two average 3.80 goals.
Valencia W's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.
Defensive concern: Valencia W conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Real Madrid W VS Valencia W
1.88 Goals Scored 0.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Real Madrid W
(Home) 04 Oct
Barcelona W
7 : 0 Real Madrid W
01 Oct
Manchester City W
1 : 1 Real Madrid W
26 Sept
Real Sociedad W
3 : 5 Real Madrid W
22 Sept
Real Madrid W
1 : 1 PSG W
19 Sept
Real Madrid W
3 : 1 Valencia W
Page 1 of 8
22 Sept
Real Madrid W
1 : 1 PSG W
19 Sept
Real Madrid W
3 : 1 Valencia W
06 Sept
Real Madrid W
0 : 0 Eibar W
02 Sept
Real Madrid W
2 : 1 Ajax W
30 Aug
Real Madrid W
3 : 2 Atl. Madrid W
Page 1 of 4
Valencia W
(Away) 04 Oct
Valencia W
0 : 1 Real Sociedad W
27 Sept
Valencia W
1 : 2 Costa Adeje Tenerife W
19 Sept
Real Madrid W
3 : 1 Valencia W
13 Sept
Logrono W
2 : 1 Valencia W
05 Sept
Valencia W
1 : 3 Madrid CFF W
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Real Madrid W
3 : 1 Valencia W
13 Sept
Logrono W
2 : 1 Valencia W
30 Aug
Alaves W
2 : 0 Valencia W
08 Aug
Birmingham W
3 : 1 Valencia W
23 May
Villarreal W
0 : 0 Valencia W
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona W | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 28:2 | 18 |
| 2 | Madrid CFF W | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11:9 | 13 |
| 3 | Real Madrid W | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 13:13 | 13 |
| 4 | Athletic Bilbao W | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11:8 | 11 |
| 5 | Eibar W | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4:4 | 11 |
| 6 | Atl. Madrid W | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 10:11 | 9 |
| 7 | Espanyol W | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9:6 | 8 |
| 8 | Badalona W | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9:8 | 8 |
| 9 | Costa Adeje Tenerife W | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:11 | 8 |
| 10 | Sevilla W | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:10 | 7 |
| 11 | Granada CF W | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5:9 | 7 |
| 12 | Logrono W | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5:7 | 6 |
| 13 | Alaves W | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3:9 | 6 |
| 14 | Dep. A Coruna W | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:6 | 5 |
| 15 | Real Sociedad W | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7:11 | 5 |
| 16 | Valencia W | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4:13 | 0 |
Relegation - Primera Federacion Women 2027/2028 (Main)
