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Real Madriz vs Walter Ferreti Prediction & H2H Stats

Nicaragua Nicaragua

Liga Primera 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Vente C.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Primera 2025/2026 game between Real Madriz and Walter Ferreti finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Real Madriz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Real Madriz
20%
Draws
40%
Walter Ferreti
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Walter Ferreti come out ahead of Real Madriz on wins alone.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Walter Ferreti taking it.
  • Regular Liga Primera 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Real Madriz Clean Sheet 18%
Walter Ferreti Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real Madriz Walter Ferreti
Matches Played 33 32
Wins 6 9
Draws 4 8
Losses 23 15
Goals Scored 0.85 1.19
Goals Conceded 2.09 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2026 Liga Primera
Real Madriz vs Walter Ferreti
1:0
Jan 25, 2026 Liga Primera
Walter Ferreti vs Real Madriz
1:0
Sep 28, 2025 Liga Primera
Walter Ferreti vs Real Madriz
3:2
Jul 24, 2025 Liga Primera
Real Madriz vs Walter Ferreti
2:0
Mar 14, 2022 Liga Primera
Real Madriz vs Walter Ferreti
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Real Madriz Compare

Top Goalscorer Vente C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Walter Ferreti Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Madriz 23 / 100
Walter Ferreti 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real Madriz Walter Ferreti

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Walter Ferreti Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Walter Ferreti conceded in 78% of 32 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Walter Ferreti has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Real Madriz found the back of the net in 55% of recent matches (33 games).

Scoring Trends

Real Madriz VS Walter Ferreti
0.25 Goals Scored 0.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Real Madriz

(Home)
25 Apr
Real Madriz
0 : 1
Rancho Santana
19 Apr
Diriangen
4 : 0
Real Madriz
16 Apr
Jalapa
2 : 0
Real Madriz
12 Apr
Real Madriz
1 : 0
UNAN-Managua
09 Apr
Sport Sebaco
2 : 2
Real Madriz
Page 1 of 7

Walter Ferreti

(Away)
06 Sept
Walter Ferreti
2 : 3
Managua FC
02 Sept
Sport Sebaco
1 : 1
Walter Ferreti
30 Aug
San Marcos
1 : 0
Walter Ferreti
24 Aug
Walter Ferreti
0 : 1
UNAN-Managua
15 Aug
Rancho Santana
1 : 3
Walter Ferreti
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Diriangen 18 12 3 3 40:19 39
2 Esteli 18 11 4 3 41:19 37
3 Jalapa 18 9 6 3 29:16 33
4 Managua FC 18 8 5 5 22:18 29
5 Matagalpa 18 5 7 6 30:24 22
6 Walter Ferreti 18 5 6 7 18:28 21
7 Sport Sebaco 18 6 2 10 23:24 20
8 UNAN-Managua 18 4 4 10 21:34 16
9 Rancho Santana 18 4 4 10 20:43 16
10 Real Madriz 18 4 3 11 14:33 15
Promotion - Liga Primera 2025/2026 (Clausura - Winners)
Promotion - Liga Primera 2025/2026 (Clausura - Winners)