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Real Mizque vs Fatic

Bolivia Bolivia

Nacional B 2023
Sat, Nov 11, 2023
3 - 0
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Real Mizque in this Nacional B 2023 tie, finishing 3-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Real Mizque
15%
Draws
53%
Fatic
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Fatic

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Real Mizque haven't matched Fatic's recent run of results.
  • Fatic are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Fatic arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Real Mizque, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 32.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Real Mizque Clean Sheet 10%
Fatic Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real Mizque Fatic
Matches Played 22 29
Wins 6 13
Draws 5 7
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.18 2.03
Goals Conceded 1.82 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.51 1.92
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 11, 2023 Copa Simon Bolivar
Real Mizque vs Fatic
3:0
Nov 5, 2023 Copa Simon Bolivar
Fatic vs Real Mizque
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Mizque 10 / 100
Fatic 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real Mizque Fatic

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fatic Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Real Mizque scored in 68% of their last 22 outings.

Fatic's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Real Mizque remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Real Mizque VS Fatic
1.4 Goals Scored 1.63
2.2 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 75%
80% Over 2.5 50%
40% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Real Mizque

(Home)
26 Nov
Real Mizque
1 : 4
GV San Jose
19 Nov
GV San Jose
4 : 1
Real Mizque
11 Nov
Real Mizque
3 : 0
Fatic
05 Nov
Fatic
2 : 0
Real Mizque
22 Oct
Stormers SL
1 : 2
Real Mizque
Page 1 of 5

Fatic

(Away)
19 Sept
Fatic
3 : 1
Atletico Sucre
12 Sept
Fatic
6 : 0
Libertad FC
05 Sept
Atletico Sucre
2 : 1
Fatic
30 Aug
Libertad FC
0 : 1
Fatic
21 Aug
Fatic
2 : 2
Em Huanuni
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Fatic 2
Real Mizque 3
Universitario de Pando 1
GV San Jose 5
Universitario Beni 3
24 de Septiembre 4
Pasion Celeste 2
Torre Fuerte 5
Real Oruro 2
San Antonio Bulo Bulo 6
Nacional Sucre 1
Municipal de Tarija 5
Atletico Bermejo 2
Real Potosi 3
Deportivo Aleman 0
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz 7
Quarter-finals
Real Mizque 2
GV San Jose 8
24 de Septiembre 2
Torre Fuerte 4
San Antonio Bulo Bulo 3
Municipal de Tarija 2
Real Potosi 2
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz 3
Semi-finals
GV San Jose 9
Torre Fuerte 4
San Antonio Bulo Bulo 6
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz 4
Final
GV San Jose 2
San Antonio Bulo Bulo 1