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Real Mizque vs Fatic

Bolivia Bolivia

Nacional B 2023
Sat, Nov 11, 2023
3 - 0
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Real Mizque in this Nacional B 2023 tie, finishing 3-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Real Mizque
20%
Draws
38%
Fatic
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Real Mizque

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Real Mizque haven't matched Fatic's recent run of results.
  • Real Mizque are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Fatic arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Real Mizque, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Real Mizque Clean Sheet 10%
Fatic Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real Mizque Fatic
Matches Played 22 30
Wins 6 12
Draws 5 9
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.63 1.75
Goals Conceded 2 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 11, 2023 Copa Simon Bolivar
Real Mizque vs Fatic
3:0
Nov 5, 2023 Copa Simon Bolivar
Fatic vs Real Mizque
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Mizque 40 / 100
Fatic 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real Mizque Fatic

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fatic has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Real Mizque's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 22 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Fatic has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Real Mizque VS Fatic
1.63 Goals Scored 1.75
2 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Real Mizque

(Home)
26 Nov
Real Mizque
1 : 4
GV San Jose
19 Nov
GV San Jose
4 : 1
Real Mizque
11 Nov
Real Mizque
3 : 0
Fatic
05 Nov
Fatic
2 : 0
Real Mizque
22 Oct
Stormers SL
1 : 2
Real Mizque
Page 1 of 5

Fatic

(Away)
02 Nov
Universitario de Sucre
2 : 2
Fatic
05 Oct
Fatic
0 : 4
Universitario de Sucre
22 Sept
Fatic
2 : 1
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz
15 Sept
Real Potosi
1 : 0
Fatic
08 Sept
Universitario de Tarija
1 : 0
Fatic
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Fatic2
Real Mizque3
Universitario de Pando1
GV San Jose5
Universitario Beni3
24 de Septiembre4
Pasion Celeste2
Torre Fuerte5
Real Oruro2
San Antonio Bulo Bulo6
Nacional Sucre1
Municipal de Tarija5
Atletico Bermejo2
Real Potosi3
Deportivo Aleman0
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz7
Quarter-finals
Real Mizque2
GV San Jose8
24 de Septiembre2
Torre Fuerte4
San Antonio Bulo Bulo3
Municipal de Tarija2
Real Potosi2
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz3
Semi-finals
GV San Jose9
Torre Fuerte4
San Antonio Bulo Bulo6
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz4
Final
GV San Jose2
San Antonio Bulo Bulo1