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Real Monarchs vs Vancouver Whitecaps 2 Prediction & H2H Stats

USA USA

MLS Next Pro Zions Bank Stadium, Herriman, UT
Our Tip

Match Events

22'
Sub
Deo S. In: Rogers C.
Out: Deo S.
23'
O'Gara L.
28' Event
Zuluaga Y.
Assist: Ittycheria D.

AI Match Summary

Real Monarchs in this MLS Next Pro matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Real Monarchs.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Real Monarchs
15%
Draws
51%
Vancouver Whitecaps 2
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vancouver Whitecaps 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Real Monarchs have won more games recently than Vancouver Whitecaps 2.
  • Win probability leans Vancouver Whitecaps 2's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 86%).
  • History favors Real Monarchs here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 86%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Real Monarchs Clean Sheet 10%
Vancouver Whitecaps 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real Monarchs Vancouver Whitecaps 2
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 10
Draws 0 0
Losses 17 20
Goals Scored 1.57 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.97 2.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2026 MLS Next Pro
Real Monarchs vs Vancouver Whitecaps 2
2:1
May 24, 2026 MLS Next Pro
Vancouver Whitecaps 2 vs Real Monarchs
1:3
Mar 22, 2026 MLS Next Pro
Real Monarchs vs Vancouver Whitecaps 2
3:2
Oct 5, 2025 MLS Next Pro
Real Monarchs vs Vancouver Whitecaps 2
4:1
Jun 29, 2025 MLS Next Pro
Vancouver Whitecaps 2 vs Real Monarchs
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Real Monarchs Compare

Top Goalscorer Ewald F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Barea J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Vancouver Whitecaps 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Zuluaga Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Monarchs 22 / 100
Vancouver Whitecaps 2 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real Monarchs Vancouver Whitecaps 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vancouver Whitecaps 2 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vancouver Whitecaps 2's defensive record shows goals conceded in 97% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.40 goals per match.

Real Monarchs's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Real Monarchs went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Real Monarchs VS Vancouver Whitecaps 2
1.13 Goals Scored 2
2.5 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Real Monarchs

(Home)
20 Sept
Real Monarchs
2 : 1
Ventura County
17 Sept
Real Monarchs
0 : 1
Minnesota United 2
14 Sept
San Jose Earthquakes II
4 : 0
Real Monarchs
05 Sept
North Texas
4 : 1
Real Monarchs
31 Aug
Real Monarchs
3 : 0
Tacoma Defiance
Page 1 of 6

Vancouver Whitecaps 2

(Away)
20 Sept
Vancouver Whitecaps 2
0 : 2
San Jose Earthquakes II
13 Sept
Minnesota United 2
5 : 1
Vancouver Whitecaps 2
07 Sept
Portland Timbers 2
0 : 1
Vancouver Whitecaps 2
30 Aug
Vancouver Whitecaps 2
5 : 1
Sporting Kansas City II
27 Aug
Vancouver Whitecaps 2
4 : 1
Los Angeles FC 2
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Columbus Crew 2 28 17 0 11 49:43 48
2 New England Revolution II 28 16 0 12 47:42 48
3 New York City II 28 16 0 12 50:44 47
4 CT United FC 28 16 0 12 59:52 46
5 New York Red Bulls II 28 15 0 13 58:48 46
6 Philadelphia Union II 28 14 0 14 37:40 43
7 Toronto FC II 28 13 0 15 48:56 39
8 FC Cincinnati 2 28 7 0 21 32:62 20
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League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Crown Legacy 28 20 0 8 67:39 58
2 Chattanooga 28 19 0 9 56:39 56
3 Atlanta United 2 28 15 0 13 62:46 48
4 Huntsville City 28 14 0 14 49:47 44
5 Orlando City B 28 15 0 13 55:56 44
6 Chicago Fire II 28 13 0 15 50:48 39
7 Carolina Core 28 10 0 18 40:53 31
8 Inter Miami II 28 4 0 24 30:74 15
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League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portland Timbers 2 28 19 0 9 37:29 57
2 Ventura County 28 18 0 10 58:36 53
3 Los Angeles FC 2 28 14 0 14 50:48 45
4 San Jose Earthquakes II 28 14 0 14 51:36 42
5 Tacoma Defiance 28 14 0 14 40:44 41
6 Real Monarchs 28 12 0 16 38:55 33
7 Vancouver Whitecaps 2 28 10 0 18 39:62 27
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League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Austin FC II 28 21 0 7 54:21 65
2 Houston Dynamo 2 28 18 0 10 53:33 52
3 Minnesota United 2 28 15 0 13 43:39 45
4 St. Louis City 2 28 14 0 14 42:40 44
5 North Texas 28 14 0 14 42:41 40
6 Sporting Kansas City II 28 7 0 21 36:75 23
7 Colorado Rapids 2 28 6 0 22 28:52 21
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League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Crown Legacy 28 20 0 8 67:39 58
2 Chattanooga 28 19 0 9 56:39 56
3 Atlanta United 2 28 15 0 13 62:46 48
4 Columbus Crew 2 28 17 0 11 49:43 48
5 New England Revolution II 28 16 0 12 47:42 48
6 New York City II 28 16 0 12 50:44 47
7 CT United FC 28 16 0 12 59:52 46
8 New York Red Bulls II 28 15 0 13 58:48 46
9 Huntsville City 28 14 0 14 49:47 44
10 Orlando City B 28 15 0 13 55:56 44
11 Philadelphia Union II 28 14 0 14 37:40 43
12 Toronto FC II 28 13 0 15 48:56 39
13 Chicago Fire II 28 13 0 15 50:48 39
14 Carolina Core 28 10 0 18 40:53 31
15 FC Cincinnati 2 28 7 0 21 32:62 20
16 Inter Miami II 28 4 0 24 30:74 15
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League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Austin FC II 28 21 0 7 54:21 65
2 Portland Timbers 2 28 19 0 9 37:29 57
3 Ventura County 28 18 0 10 58:36 53
4 Houston Dynamo 2 28 18 0 10 53:33 52
5 Minnesota United 2 28 15 0 13 43:39 45
6 Los Angeles FC 2 28 14 0 14 50:48 45
7 St. Louis City 2 28 14 0 14 42:40 44
8 San Jose Earthquakes II 28 14 0 14 51:36 42
9 Tacoma Defiance 28 14 0 14 40:44 41
10 North Texas 28 14 0 14 42:41 40
11 Real Monarchs 28 12 0 16 38:55 33
12 Vancouver Whitecaps 2 28 10 0 18 39:62 27
13 Sporting Kansas City II 28 7 0 21 36:75 23
14 Colorado Rapids 2 28 6 0 22 28:52 21
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