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Real Monterotondo vs Ilvamaddalena

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group G 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Menghi M.
23' Event
Napoleoni S.
51' Event
Menghi M.

AI Match Summary

Real Monterotondo in this Serie D - Group G 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Real Monterotondo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Real Monterotondo
11%
Draws
9%
Ilvamaddalena
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Real Monterotondo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Ilvamaddalena haven't matched Real Monterotondo's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Real Monterotondo a 80% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie D - Group G 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Real Monterotondo Clean Sheet 68%
Ilvamaddalena Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real Monterotondo Ilvamaddalena
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 9 8
Draws 8 8
Losses 16 14
Goals Scored 1.38 0
Goals Conceded 1.63 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2025 Serie D - Group G
Real Monterotondo vs Ilvamaddalena
3:1
Apr 17, 2025 Serie D - Group G
Real Monterotondo vs Ilvamaddalena
1:1
Dec 7, 2024 Serie D - Group G
Ilvamaddalena vs Real Monterotondo
0:0
Apr 1, 2023 Serie D - Group G
Ilvamaddalena vs Real Monterotondo
2:0
Nov 20, 2022 Serie D - Group G
Real Monterotondo vs Ilvamaddalena
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Real Monterotondo Compare

Top Goalscorer Menghi M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Napoleoni S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Ilvamaddalena Compare

Top Goalscorer Aloia A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Monterotondo 86 / 100
Ilvamaddalena 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real Monterotondo Ilvamaddalena

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick REA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ilvamaddalena let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Real Monterotondo found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (33 games).

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Real Monterotondo stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Real Monterotondo VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Atl. Lodigiani1
Sarrabus Ogliastra0
Real Monterotondo3
Ilvamaddalena1