Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Real Monterotondo vs Ischia

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group G 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

57' Event
Tenkorang J.
75' Event
Lopes P.
77' Event
Carbone L.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group G 2025/2026 game between Real Monterotondo and Ischia finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Real Monterotondo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Real Monterotondo
15%
Draws
49%
Ischia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ischia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ischia come out ahead of Real Monterotondo on wins alone.
  • Model gives Real Monterotondo a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie D - Group G 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Real Monterotondo Clean Sheet 17%
Ischia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real Monterotondo Ischia
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 8 13
Draws 6 5
Losses 16 11
Goals Scored 1.13 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.7 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 25, 2026 Serie D - Group G
Real Monterotondo vs Ischia
3:2
Sep 24, 2025 Serie D - Group G
Ischia vs Real Monterotondo
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Real Monterotondo Compare

Top Goalscorer Tenkorang J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Carbone L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Ischia Compare

Top Goalscorer Lopes P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gille T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Monterotondo 36 / 100
Ischia 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real Monterotondo Ischia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ischia has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Real Monterotondo found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Real Monterotondo went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Real Monterotondo VS Ischia
1.5 Goals Scored 0.63
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Real Monterotondo

(Home)
10 May
Anzio Calcio 1924
2 : 1
Real Monterotondo
03 May
Real Monterotondo
0 : 5
Valmontone
26 Apr
Atl. Lodigiani
0 : 2
Real Monterotondo
19 Apr
Real Monterotondo
2 : 1
Sarrabus Ogliastra
12 Apr
Real Monterotondo
3 : 1
Cassino
Page 1 of 6

Ischia

(Away)
13 Aug
Giugliano
0 : 1
Ischia
31 Jul
Juve Stabia
5 : 1
Ischia
10 May
Ischia
2 : 1
Olbia
03 May
Nocerina
0 : 1
Ischia
26 Apr
Ischia
1 : 0
Montespaccato
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Scafatese 34 27 6 1 75:23 87
2 Trastevere Calcio 34 17 9 8 64:46 60
3 Monastir 34 15 8 11 51:44 53
4 Flaminia 34 13 12 9 53:37 51
5 Albalonga 34 14 8 12 55:55 50
6 Latte Dolce 34 14 6 14 49:49 48
7 Valmontone 34 14 6 14 49:50 48
8 Nocerina 34 11 14 9 36:33 47
9 Sarrabus Ogliastra 34 12 10 12 47:51 46
10 Budoni Calcio 34 12 9 13 33:32 45
11 Palmese 1914 34 11 12 11 41:43 45
12 Atl. Lodigiani 34 11 11 12 43:40 44
13 Ischia 34 12 7 15 36:52 43
14 Anzio Calcio 1924 34 10 11 13 38:43 41
15 Real Monterotondo 34 10 6 18 39:58 36
16 Olbia 34 8 14 12 39:50 36
17 Montespaccato 34 6 12 16 47:58 30
18 Cassino 34 4 9 21 24:55 21
Promotion - Serie D - Group G 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group G 2025/2026 (Play Out)