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Real Monterotondo vs Montespaccato Prediction & H2H Stats

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group G 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Grisley S.
47' Event
Grisley S.
83' Event
Coratella C.

AI Match Summary

Real Monterotondo in this Serie D - Group G 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Real Monterotondo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

77%
Real Monterotondo
15%
Draws
8%
Montespaccato
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Real Monterotondo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / Very High Confidence
  • Montespaccato haven't matched Real Monterotondo's recent run of results.
  • Real Monterotondo are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38%
Real Monterotondo Clean Sheet 68%
Montespaccato Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real Monterotondo Montespaccato
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 6
Draws 6 12
Losses 16 12
Goals Scored 1.13 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.7 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2026 Serie D - Group G
Real Monterotondo vs Montespaccato
2:1
Nov 16, 2025 Serie D - Group G
Montespaccato vs Real Monterotondo
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Real Monterotondo Compare

Top Goalscorer Grisley S.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Montespaccato Compare

Top Goalscorer Coratella C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Monterotondo 77 / 100
Montespaccato 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real Monterotondo Montespaccato

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Real Monterotondo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Montespaccato let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Real Monterotondo scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Real Monterotondo stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Real Monterotondo VS Montespaccato
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Real Monterotondo

(Home)
10 May
Anzio Calcio 1924
2 : 1
Real Monterotondo
03 May
Real Monterotondo
0 : 5
Valmontone
26 Apr
Atl. Lodigiani
0 : 2
Real Monterotondo
19 Apr
Real Monterotondo
2 : 1
Sarrabus Ogliastra
12 Apr
Real Monterotondo
3 : 1
Cassino
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Montespaccato

(Away)
03 May
Montespaccato
2 : 4
Flaminia
26 Apr
Ischia
1 : 0
Montespaccato
19 Apr
Montespaccato
2 : 3
Latte Dolce
12 Apr
Valmontone
3 : 2
Montespaccato
02 Apr
Montespaccato
1 : 1
Atl. Lodigiani
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Scafatese 34 27 6 1 75:23 87
2 Trastevere Calcio 34 17 9 8 64:46 60
3 Monastir 34 15 8 11 51:44 53
4 Flaminia 34 13 12 9 53:37 51
5 Albalonga 34 14 8 12 55:55 50
6 Latte Dolce 34 14 6 14 49:49 48
7 Valmontone 34 14 6 14 49:50 48
8 Nocerina 34 11 14 9 36:33 47
9 Sarrabus Ogliastra 34 12 10 12 47:51 46
10 Budoni Calcio 34 12 9 13 33:32 45
11 Palmese 1914 34 11 12 11 41:43 45
12 Atl. Lodigiani 34 11 11 12 43:40 44
13 Ischia 34 12 7 15 36:52 43
14 Anzio Calcio 1924 34 10 11 13 38:43 41
15 Real Monterotondo 34 10 6 18 39:58 36
16 Olbia 34 8 14 12 39:50 36
17 Montespaccato 34 6 12 16 47:58 30
18 Cassino 34 4 9 21 24:55 21
Promotion - Serie D - Group G 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group G 2025/2026 (Play Out)