Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Real Murcia B vs Lorca Deportiva - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 3
Sun, Oct 25, 2026
VS
10:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Real Murcia B host Lorca Deportiva in the Segunda RFEF - Group 3. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Real Murcia B at 1.32 goals for, 1.46 against; Lorca Deportiva at 0.79 for, 1.04 against. Head-to-head, Real Murcia B have won 3 to Lorca Deportiva's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on Feb 8, 2025, ending 2:1. Model xG sits at 0.75 vs 1.13, favoring Real Murcia B. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Real Murcia B
20%
Draws
51%
Lorca Deportiva
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Lorca Deportiva

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Real Murcia B have won more games recently than Lorca Deportiva.
  • 51% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Segunda RFEF - Group 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Real Murcia B Clean Sheet 20%
Lorca Deportiva Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real Murcia B Lorca Deportiva
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 10 8
Draws 7 8
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.32 0.79
Goals Conceded 1.46 1.04
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Lorca Deportiva vs Real Murcia B
2:1
Sep 29, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Real Murcia B vs Lorca Deportiva
1:2
May 26, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Real Murcia B vs Lorca Deportiva
3:2
May 18, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Lorca Deportiva vs Real Murcia B
0:1
Feb 24, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Lorca Deportiva vs Real Murcia B
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Murcia B 32 / 100
Lorca Deportiva 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real Murcia B Lorca Deportiva

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lorca Deportiva Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Real Murcia B scored in 75% of their last 28 games.

Lorca Deportiva's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Real Murcia B remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Real Murcia B VS Lorca Deportiva
0.75 Goals Scored 0.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 25%
38% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Real Murcia B

(Home)
11 Oct
Real Murcia B
1 : 1
Yeclano
04 Oct
Castellonense
3 : 0
Real Murcia B
27 Sept
Pena Deportiva
0 : 2
Real Murcia B
20 Sept
Real Murcia B
0 : 1
Mallorca B
13 Sept
La Nucia
5 : 1
Real Murcia B
Page 1 of 6

Lorca Deportiva

(Away)
11 Oct
La Nucia
1 : 3
Lorca Deportiva
03 Oct
Castellon B
2 : 1
Lorca Deportiva
27 Sept
Lorca Deportiva
1 : 0
Castellonense
20 Sept
Lorca Deportiva
0 : 0
CF Intercity
13 Sept
Orihuela
1 : 0
Lorca Deportiva
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UCAM Murcia 6 4 0 2 14:6 12
2 Castellon B 6 4 0 2 13:7 12
3 La Nucia 6 4 0 2 10:6 12
4 Castellonense 6 4 0 2 10:6 12
5 Ciudad Cieza 6 3 2 1 10:4 11
6 Deportiva Minera 6 3 2 1 8:6 11
7 Alcoyano 6 3 1 2 6:6 10
8 Yeclano 6 2 3 1 5:4 9
9 CF Intercity 6 2 3 1 8:8 9
10 Lorca Deportiva 6 2 2 2 6:5 8
11 Ilicitano 6 2 1 3 7:9 7
12 Orihuela 6 2 1 3 7:14 7
13 Mallorca B 6 1 3 2 4:6 6
14 Baleares 6 1 3 2 8:11 6
15 UD Poblense 6 2 0 4 5:8 6
16 Pena Deportiva 6 1 1 4 6:9 4
17 Valencia B 6 1 1 4 6:11 4
18 Real Murcia B 6 1 1 4 5:12 4
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Play Out)