Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 13

UCAM Murcia B

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Real Murcia B play UCAM Murcia B in the Tercera RFEF - Group 13. It looks like a close match. Recently, Real Murcia B averaged 1.67 goals scored and 1.33 conceded. UCAM Murcia B averaged 1.63 goals scored and 1.1 conceded. In past meetings, Real Murcia B won 4, UCAM Murcia B won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Feb 8, 2026 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.21 for Real Murcia B and 2.16 for UCAM Murcia B. This points to a Real Murcia B double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%

Real Murcia B

32%

Draws

31%

UCAM Murcia B

Draw rate projection: 32% Favored: Real Murcia B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence

Real Murcia B picked up more points recently compared to UCAM Murcia B.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.21 vs 2.16 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%

Over 1.5 Goals 81%

Over 2.5 Goals 49%

Over 3.5 Goals 29%

Over 4.5 Goals 15%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 54%

Real Murcia B Clean Sheet 10%

UCAM Murcia B Clean Sheet 12%

First Half Goal 73%

Second Half Goal 77%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Real Murcia B	UCAM Murcia B
Matches Played	33	30
Wins	15	12
Draws	9	14
Losses	9	4
Goals Scored	1.67	1.63
Goals Conceded	1.33	1.1
Expected Goals (xG)	1.00	2.57
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.75	1.43

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 13

Real Murcia B vs UCAM Murcia B

Possession: 49% - 58% Cards: 1 - 1

2:0

Sep 28, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 13

UCAM Murcia B vs Real Murcia B

Possession: 50% - 51% Cards: 0 - 0

1:3

Jan 26, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 13

UCAM Murcia B vs Real Murcia B

Possession: 54% - 48% Cards: 2 - 3

0:1

Sep 15, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 13

Real Murcia B vs UCAM Murcia B

Possession: 42% - 42% Cards: 2 - 1

0:0

Feb 11, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 13

UCAM Murcia B vs Real Murcia B

Possession: 41% - 54% Cards: 0 - 2

0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Real Murcia B Compare

Top Goalscorer Rubira R.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Yoldi A.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.77

Avg xA / game 0.5

UCAM Murcia B Compare

Avg xG / game 2.34

Avg xA / game 1.43

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Murcia B 35 / 100

UCAM Murcia B 30 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Real Murcia B UCAM Murcia B

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Real Murcia B or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +27.6%

3.45

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +14.2%

2.33

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Real Murcia B attacking → ← attacking UCAM Murcia B

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Real Murcia B scored in 79% of their last 33 games.

UCAM Murcia B let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Real Murcia B went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

UCAM Murcia B lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

54 Points in last 5 50

1.00 Goals expected (xG) 2.57

1.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.43

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Ciudad Cieza	34	21	10	3	65:21	73
2	Real Murcia B	34	17	8	9	59:44	59
3	Molinense	34	17	8	9	46:34	59
4	Club Olimpico de Totana	34	15	13	6	44:27	58
5	Mazarron CF	34	14	14	6	50:33	56
6	UCAM Murcia B	34	13	16	5	55:37	55
7	Aguilas FC B	34	14	10	10	47:42	52
8	CA Pulpileno	34	13	11	10	30:29	50
9	Santa Cruz	34	14	6	14	35:37	48
10	Minerva	34	11	11	12	28:39	44
11	Bala Azul	34	8	16	10	39:36	40
12	FC Cartagena SAD B	34	9	11	14	40:39	38
13	Deportivo Maritimo	34	9	9	16	38:46	36
14	E.G. El Palmar	34	8	8	18	27:48	32
15	Santomera	34	8	8	18	38:64	32
16	Caravaca	34	6	13	15	33:44	31
17	Muleno CF	34	6	13	15	33:58	31
18	Yeclano B	34	6	9	19	25:54	27