Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Real Normanna vs Aquila Calcio - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Coppa Italia Serie D
Wed, Oct 28, 2026
VS
01:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Coppa Italia Serie D. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Real Normanna have averaged 1.17 scored and 1.03 conceded recently, against Aquila Calcio's 1.52 scored and 1.03 conceded. Past meetings favor Aquila Calcio slightly — 1-3-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 14, 2013, ending 1:2. The numbers (1.06 xG vs 1.56) point toward Aquila Calcio. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Real Normanna
20%
Draws
44%
Aquila Calcio
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Aquila Calcio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Aquila Calcio average 1.52 goals a game right now, well clear of Real Normanna's 1.17.
  • Model gives Aquila Calcio a 44% chance of winning this.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Aquila Calcio, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Aquila Calcio have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Real Normanna Clean Sheet 15%
Aquila Calcio Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real Normanna Aquila Calcio
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 12
Draws 8 9
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 1.17 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 14, 2013 Lega Pro C2/B
Real Normanna vs Aquila Calcio
1:2
Nov 25, 2012 Lega Pro C2/B
Aquila Calcio vs Real Normanna
4:1
Mar 7, 2012 Lega Pro C2/B
Real Normanna vs Aquila Calcio
2:0
Oct 23, 2011 Lega Pro C2/B
Aquila Calcio vs Real Normanna
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Normanna 11 / 100
Aquila Calcio 75 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real Normanna Aquila Calcio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aquila Calcio Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Real Normanna's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.75 goals per match.

Real Normanna has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: Aquila Calcio conceded in 55% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Real Normanna VS Aquila Calcio
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.38
88% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Real Normanna

(Home)
07 Oct
Paganese
1 : 2
Real Normanna
04 Oct
Brindisi
3 : 0
Real Normanna
27 Sept
Real Normanna
1 : 0
Gravina
20 Sept
Palmese 1914
3 : 4
Real Normanna
16 Sept
Real Normanna
1 : 2
Martina Calcio
Page 1 of 6

Aquila Calcio

(Away)
07 Oct
Aquila Calcio
5 : 2
Termoli
04 Oct
Pietralunga
0 : 3
Aquila Calcio
27 Sept
Aquila Calcio
2 : 0
Teramo
20 Sept
Ancona
2 : 2
Aquila Calcio
16 Sept
Aquila Calcio
0 : 0
Atletico Ascoli
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
AS Biellese 3
Alessandria 2
Valenzana 3
Saluzzo 2
Villa Valle 2
Tritium 1
Brusaporto 2
Chievo 1
Real Calepina 0
AC Leon 2
Varese FC 2
Pro Patria 5
Pavia 1
Sant'Angelo 3
Sanremese 5
Millesimo 2
Cjarlins Muzane 2
Brian Lignano 1
Este 0
Caldiero Terme 2
Mestre 0
Schio 2
Clodiense 2
Campodarsego 1
Lentigione 1
Piacenza 3
Sasso Marconi 1
Cittadella Vis Modena 0
Sestri Levante 1
Pistoiese 0
Seravezza Pozzi 1
Lucchese 2
Terranuova Traiana 0
Prato 3
Ternana -
Recanatese -
Ancona 2
Fossombrone 1
Flaminia 0
Siena 3
Unipomezia 3
Teramo 4
Latte Dolce 3
Sarrabus Ogliastra 0
Aquila Calcio 5
Termoli 2
Paganese 1
Real Normanna 2
Certosa V. Campagnano 4
Albalonga 1
Nocerina 1
Turris 2
Fidelis Andria 2
Bisceglie 1
Virtus Francavilla 3
Gravina 0
Lamezia 2
Gelbison 3
Igea Virtus 3
Reggina 2
Calcio Avola 0
ASD Modica Calcio 4
Trapani 1
Licata 2
1/16-finals
AS Biellese -
Valenzana -
Villa Valle -
Brusaporto -
AC Leon -
Pro Patria -
Sant'Angelo -
Sanremese -
Cjarlins Muzane -
Caldiero Terme -
Schio -
Clodiense -
Piacenza -
Sasso Marconi -
Sestri Levante -
Lucchese -
Prato -
TBD -
Ancona -
Siena -
Teramo -
Latte Dolce -
Aquila Calcio -
Real Normanna -
Certosa V. Campagnano -
Turris -
Fidelis Andria -
Virtus Francavilla -
Gelbison -
Igea Virtus -
ASD Modica Calcio -
Licata -
1/8-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -