Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Real Normanna vs Fidelis Andria - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group H
Our Tip

Match Events

47' Event
Tolomello F.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group H game between Real Normanna and Fidelis Andria finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Fidelis Andria.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Real Normanna
15%
Draws
37%
Fidelis Andria
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Real Normanna

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Real Normanna come out ahead of Fidelis Andria on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Fidelis Andria here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Real Normanna Clean Sheet 68%
Fidelis Andria Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real Normanna Fidelis Andria
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 12 10
Draws 8 5
Losses 8 15
Goals Scored 1.21 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.04 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 11, 2026 Serie D - Group H
Real Normanna vs Fidelis Andria
0:1
Feb 8, 2026 Serie D - Group H
Fidelis Andria vs Real Normanna
1:0
Oct 5, 2025 Serie D - Group H
Real Normanna vs Fidelis Andria
1:0
Apr 1, 2021 Serie D - Group H
Fidelis Andria vs Real Normanna
4:0
Dec 13, 2020 Serie D - Group H
Real Normanna vs Fidelis Andria
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Real Normanna Compare

Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Fidelis Andria Compare

Top Goalscorer Tolomello F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Normanna 41 / 100
Fidelis Andria 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real Normanna Fidelis Andria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Real Normanna Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Real Normanna found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (28 games).

Fidelis Andria let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Real Normanna has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Real Normanna VS Fidelis Andria
1.75 Goals Scored 0.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Real Normanna

(Home)
07 Oct
Paganese
1 : 2
Real Normanna
04 Oct
Brindisi
3 : 0
Real Normanna
27 Sept
Real Normanna
1 : 0
Gravina
20 Sept
Palmese 1914
3 : 4
Real Normanna
16 Sept
Real Normanna
1 : 2
Martina Calcio
Page 1 of 6

Fidelis Andria

(Away)
07 Oct
Fidelis Andria
2 : 1
Bisceglie
04 Oct
Fidelis Andria
2 : 1
Real Forio 2014
27 Sept
Turris
2 : 0
Fidelis Andria
20 Sept
San Felice Gladiator
3 : 2
Fidelis Andria
16 Sept
Fidelis Andria
1 : 1
Manfredonia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Virtus Francavilla 6 5 0 1 12:8 15
2 Nocerina 6 4 1 1 12:8 13
3 Martina Calcio 6 4 0 2 12:7 12
4 Bisceglie 6 4 0 2 11:6 12
5 Turris 6 3 3 0 9:5 12
6 Gravina 6 3 2 1 12:7 11
7 Manfredonia 6 3 2 1 10:6 11
8 Real Normanna 6 3 1 2 10:10 10
9 Brindisi 6 3 0 3 8:8 9
10 Ebolitana 6 2 2 2 6:8 8
11 Real Forio 2014 6 2 1 3 10:10 7
12 San Felice Gladiator 6 2 1 3 9:11 7
13 Palmese 1914 6 2 1 3 9:12 7
14 A.C.D. Nardo 6 1 2 3 5:11 5
15 Melfi 6 1 1 4 2:6 4
16 Fidelis Andria 6 1 1 4 6:11 4
17 Francavilla 6 1 0 5 3:7 3
18 Ischia 6 0 2 4 7:12 2
Promotion - Serie D - Group H (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group H (Play Out)