Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Real Normanna vs Martina Calcio

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group H
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Silvestro M.
37' Event
Verde F.
58' Event
Silvestro M.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group H game between Real Normanna and Martina Calcio finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Martina Calcio.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Real Normanna
15%
Draws
40%
Martina Calcio
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Real Normanna

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Martina Calcio come out ahead of Real Normanna on wins alone.
  • Real Normanna are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Real Normanna Clean Sheet 17%
Martina Calcio Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real Normanna Martina Calcio
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 11 17
Draws 8 5
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 1.14 1.69
Goals Conceded 0.96 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 16, 2026 Serie D - Group H
Real Normanna vs Martina Calcio
1:2
Apr 12, 2026 Serie D - Group H
Martina Calcio vs Real Normanna
2:0
Nov 30, 2025 Serie D - Group H
Real Normanna vs Martina Calcio
0:0
Mar 6, 2015 Serie C - Group C
Real Normanna vs Martina Calcio
2:0
Oct 18, 2014 Serie C - Group C
Martina Calcio vs Real Normanna
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Real Normanna Compare

Top Goalscorer Verde F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Martina Calcio Compare

Top Goalscorer Silvestro M.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Normanna 36 / 100
Martina Calcio 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real Normanna Martina Calcio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Real Normanna scored in 64% of their last 28 games.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Real Normanna has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Martina Calcio let in goals in 59% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Real Normanna VS Martina Calcio
1.75 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Real Normanna

(Home)
27 Sept
Real Normanna
1 : 0
Gravina
20 Sept
Palmese 1914
3 : 4
Real Normanna
16 Sept
Real Normanna
1 : 2
Martina Calcio
12 Sept
Ischia
2 : 2
Real Normanna
06 Sept
Real Normanna
2 : 0
Melfi
Page 1 of 6

Martina Calcio

(Away)
27 Sept
A.C.D. Nardo
0 : 3
Martina Calcio
20 Sept
Martina Calcio
1 : 2
Virtus Francavilla
16 Sept
Real Normanna
1 : 2
Martina Calcio
13 Sept
Martina Calcio
2 : 0
Real Forio 2014
06 Sept
Turris
4 : 3
Martina Calcio
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Virtus Francavilla 5 5 0 0 10:4 15
2 Bisceglie 5 4 0 1 11:5 12
3 Turris 5 3 2 0 8:4 11
4 Nocerina 5 3 1 1 11:8 10
5 Real Normanna 5 3 1 1 10:7 10
6 Martina Calcio 5 3 0 2 11:7 9
7 Manfredonia 5 2 2 1 9:6 8
8 Gravina 5 2 2 1 8:5 8
9 Real Forio 2014 5 2 1 2 9:8 7
10 Ebolitana 5 2 1 2 5:7 7
11 San Felice Gladiator 5 2 0 3 8:10 6
12 Brindisi 5 2 0 3 5:8 6
13 A.C.D. Nardo 5 1 2 2 3:7 5
14 Melfi 5 1 1 3 2:5 4
15 Palmese 1914 5 1 1 3 5:10 4
16 Francavilla 5 1 0 4 3:6 3
17 Ischia 5 0 1 4 6:11 1
18 Fidelis Andria 5 0 1 4 4:10 1
Promotion - Serie D - Group H (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group H (Play Out)