Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Real Normanna vs Melfi

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group H
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Addae B.
51' Event
Masala M.

AI Match Summary

Real Normanna in this Serie D - Group H matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Real Normanna.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Real Normanna
30%
Draws
29%
Melfi
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Real Normanna

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Real Normanna lately — more wins on the board than Melfi.
  • 41% — that's where the model lands on Real Normanna taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 45%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Real Normanna Clean Sheet 68%
Melfi Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real Normanna Melfi
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 7
Draws 9 5
Losses 9 17
Goals Scored 1.1 0.83
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 0.96 0.64
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Serie D - Group H
Real Normanna vs Melfi
2:0
Mar 1, 2015 Serie C - Group C
Melfi vs Real Normanna
3:4
Oct 11, 2014 Serie C - Group C
Real Normanna vs Melfi
0:0
Jan 12, 2014 Lega Pro C2/B
Real Normanna vs Melfi
0:0
Sep 8, 2013 Lega Pro C2/B
Melfi vs Real Normanna
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Real Normanna Compare

Top Goalscorer Addae B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Masala M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.48

Melfi Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.36

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Normanna 95 / 100
Melfi 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real Normanna Melfi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Real Normanna Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Real Normanna found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).

Melfi's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Real Normanna has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Real Normanna VS Melfi
1.13 Goals Scored 0.4
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.8
50% Over 1.5 40%
25% Over 2.5 20%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Real Normanna

(Home)
20 Sept
Palmese 1914
3 : 4
Real Normanna
16 Sept
Real Normanna
1 : 2
Martina Calcio
12 Sept
Ischia
2 : 2
Real Normanna
06 Sept
Real Normanna
2 : 0
Melfi
03 May
Gravina
3 : 2
Real Normanna
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Melfi

(Away)
20 Sept
Melfi
2 : 1
Francavilla
16 Sept
A.C.D. Nardo
0 : 0
Melfi
13 Sept
Melfi
0 : 1
Virtus Francavilla
06 Sept
Real Normanna
2 : 0
Melfi
28 May
Akragas
1 : 1
Melfi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Virtus Francavilla 4 4 0 0 8:3 12
2 Bisceglie 4 3 0 1 8:4 9
3 Gravina 4 2 2 0 8:4 8
4 Turris 4 2 2 0 6:4 8
5 Real Normanna 4 2 1 1 9:7 7
6 Real Forio 2014 4 2 1 1 8:6 7
7 Nocerina 4 2 1 1 8:8 7
8 Martina Calcio 4 2 0 2 8:7 6
9 San Felice Gladiator 4 2 0 2 7:8 6
10 Manfredonia 4 1 2 1 7:5 5
11 A.C.D. Nardo 4 1 2 1 3:4 5
12 Palmese 1914 4 1 1 2 5:7 4
13 Melfi 4 1 1 2 2:4 4
14 Ebolitana 4 1 1 2 4:7 4
15 Francavilla 4 1 0 3 3:5 3
16 Brindisi 4 1 0 3 4:8 3
17 Ischia 4 0 1 3 5:8 1
18 Fidelis Andria 4 0 1 3 4:8 1
Promotion - Serie D - Group H (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group H (Play Out)