Sport Picks
Match Events
34'
34'
Addessi S.
49'
49'
Malvestuto F.
59'
59'
Maiorano F.
AI Match Summary
The Serie D - Group H 2025/2026 game between Real Normanna and Sarnese finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
20%
47%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sarnese
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- Sarnese's 1.57 goals per match outpaces what Real Normanna have produced (1.1).
- Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Real Normanna Clean Sheet 68%
Sarnese Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Real Normanna | Sarnese |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 11 | 11 |
| Draws | 9 | 12 |
| Losses | 9 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.1 | 1.57 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.93 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 15, 2026 Serie D - Group H
Real Normanna vs Sarnese
2:2
Oct 12, 2025 Serie D - Group H
Sarnese vs Real Normanna
0:0
Mar 29, 2018 Serie D - Group H
Real Normanna vs Sarnese
1:2
Nov 12, 2017 Serie D - Group H
Sarnese vs Real Normanna
0:1
Feb 12, 2017 Serie D - Group I
Sarnese vs Real Normanna
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Real Normanna Compare
Top Goalscorer Maiorano F.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
Sarnese Compare
Top Goalscorer Addessi S.
1 Goals Assists Leader Malvestuto F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Real Normanna 42 / 100
Sarnese 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Real Normanna Sarnese
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Real Normanna's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Sarnese has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.
H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.
Real Normanna went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Real Normanna VS Sarnese
1.63 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Real Normanna
(Home) 20 Sept
Palmese 1914
3 : 4 Real Normanna
16 Sept
Real Normanna
1 : 2 Martina Calcio
12 Sept
Ischia
2 : 2 Real Normanna
06 Sept
Real Normanna
2 : 0 Melfi
03 May
Gravina
3 : 2 Real Normanna
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16 Sept
Real Normanna
1 : 2 Martina Calcio
06 Sept
Real Normanna
2 : 0 Melfi
26 Apr
Real Normanna
2 : 0 Citta di Fasano
02 Apr
Real Normanna
1 : 0 Paganese
22 Mar
Real Normanna
3 : 1 Ferrandina
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Sarnese
(Away) 20 Sept
Sarnese
3 : 1 Gelbison
16 Sept
US Venafro
0 : 1 Sarnese
12 Sept
Afragolese
1 : 1 Sarnese
06 Sept
Sarnese
2 : 1 Budoni Calcio
30 Jul
Cavese
1 : 0 Sarnese
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16 Sept
US Venafro
0 : 1 Sarnese
12 Sept
Afragolese
1 : 1 Sarnese
30 Jul
Cavese
1 : 0 Sarnese
03 May
Virtus Francavilla
2 : 2 Sarnese
19 Apr
Fidelis Andria
2 : 1 Sarnese
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barletta | 34 | 20 | 10 | 4 | 54:20 | 70 |
| 2 | Martina Calcio | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 47:30 | 62 |
| 3 | Citta di Fasano | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 51:35 | 62 |
| 4 | Paganese | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 36:32 | 58 |
| 5 | A.C.D. Nardo | 34 | 14 | 13 | 7 | 40:27 | 55 |
| 6 | Gravina | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 50:40 | 55 |
| 7 | Afragolese | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 45:46 | 49 |
| 8 | Fidelis Andria | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 35:28 | 48 |
| 9 | Virtus Francavilla | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 45:40 | 48 |
| 10 | Real Normanna | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 27:26 | 43 |
| 11 | Francavilla | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 39:38 | 43 |
| 12 | Manfredonia | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 34:39 | 43 |
| 13 | Sarnese | 34 | 9 | 14 | 11 | 51:49 | 41 |
| 14 | SS Nola 1925 | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 42:50 | 41 |
| 15 | Heraclea | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 31:39 | 38 |
| 16 | Pompei | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 26:38 | 34 |
| 17 | Ferrandina | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 21:43 | 30 |
| 18 | Acerrana | 34 | 3 | 5 | 26 | 20:74 | 14 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group H 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group H 2025/2026 (Play Out)
