Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Real Noroeste vs Sport-ES

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Capixaba 2016
Real Noroeste Logo

Real Noroeste

2 - 1
FT
Sport-ES Logo

Sport-ES

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Real Noroeste in this Campeonato Capixaba 2016 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Real Noroeste.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Real Noroeste
35%
Draws
19%
Sport-ES
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Real Noroeste

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Real Noroeste at 1.06 per game, Sport-ES at 1.03.
  • Win probability leans Real Noroeste's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Real Noroeste Clean Sheet 20%
Sport-ES Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real Noroeste Sport-ES
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 9 9
Draws 8 2
Losses 14 18
Goals Scored 1.06 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.26 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2025 Copa Espirito Santo
Sport-ES vs Real Noroeste
2:1
May 22, 2024 Copa Espirito Santo
Sport-ES vs Real Noroeste
0:4
Mar 12, 2016 Capixaba
Real Noroeste vs Sport-ES
2:1
Feb 20, 2016 Capixaba
Sport-ES vs Real Noroeste
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Noroeste 58 / 100
Sport-ES 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real Noroeste Sport-ES

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Real Noroeste Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sport-ES has conceded goals in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Solid form: Real Noroeste remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Sport-ES's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Real Noroeste VS Sport-ES
0.83 Goals Scored 1
0.83 Goals Conceded 1.5
67% Over 1.5 50%
33% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Real Noroeste

(Home)
14 Jun
Real Noroeste
0 : 0
Democrata GV
30 May
Vitoria ES
1 : 1
Real Noroeste
23 May
Tombense
1 : 1
Real Noroeste
16 May
Real Noroeste
0 : 0
Rio Branco ES
09 May
Porto-BA
1 : 2
Real Noroeste
Page 1 of 7

Sport-ES

(Away)
29 Aug
Sport-ES
0 : 1
Estrela do Norte
22 Aug
Rive
2 : 0
Sport-ES
19 Aug
Tupy
1 : 0
Sport-ES
16 Aug
Sport-ES
4 : 1
Pinheiros
02 Aug
Estrela do Norte
2 : 0
Sport-ES
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rio Branco ES 8 5 2 1 10:5 17
2 Real Noroeste 8 4 3 1 7:4 15
3 Linhares Futebol Clube 8 4 0 4 7:8 12
4 SAO Mateus 8 2 1 5 5:8 7
5 Sport-ES 8 1 2 5 5:9 5
Promotion - Campeonato Capixaba 2016 (Second stage)
Relegation - Campeonato Capixaba 2016 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Desportiva Ferroviaria 8 5 3 0 10:3 18
2 Galatas 8 3 3 2 6:2 12
3 CA Itapemirim 8 2 4 2 5:4 10
4 Estrela do Norte 8 2 2 4 4:7 8
5 Doze Futebol Clube 8 1 2 5 1:10 5
Promotion - Campeonato Capixaba 2016 (Second stage)
Relegation - Campeonato Capixaba 2016 (Relegation Group)