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Real Oruro vs Sur-Car Prediction & H2H Stats

Bolivia Bolivia

Nacional B 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Nacional B 2023 game between Real Oruro and Sur-Car finished 2-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sur-Car.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Real Oruro
30%
Draws
23%
Sur-Car
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Real Oruro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Sur-Car carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Real Oruro a 47% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Real Oruro Clean Sheet 20%
Sur-Car Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real Oruro Sur-Car
Matches Played 36 30
Wins 11 12
Draws 7 7
Losses 18 11
Goals Scored 1.78 1.83
Goals Conceded 2.14 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 25, 2023 Copa Simon Bolivar
Real Oruro vs Sur-Car
2:4
May 20, 2023 Copa Simon Bolivar
Sur-Car vs Real Oruro
0:2
Aug 20, 2022 Copa Simon Bolivar
Sur-Car vs Real Oruro
0:5
Aug 3, 2022 Copa Simon Bolivar
Real Oruro vs Sur-Car
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Oruro 85 / 100
Sur-Car 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real Oruro Sur-Car

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Real Oruro Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Real Oruro scored in 83% of their last 36 outings.

Sur-Car has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.75 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Sur-Car has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Real Oruro VS -
1.75 Goals Scored 0
3 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
100% Over 2.5 0%
75% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Real Oruro

(Home)
03 Oct
Nacional Potosi
2 : 0
Real Oruro
30 Sept
Real Oruro
2 : 2
Always Ready
27 Sept
Tomayapo
2 : 1
Real Oruro
20 Sept
Real Oruro
1 : 0
GV San Jose
15 Sept
Real Oruro
0 : 2
Real Potosi
Page 1 of 8

Sur-Car

(Away)
28 Oct
Municipal de Tarija
7 : 3
Sur-Car
22 Oct
Sur-Car
1 : 4
Fatic
08 Oct
Sur-Car
1 : 1
Municipal de Tarija
01 Oct
Fatic
2 : 0
Sur-Car
08 Jul
GV San Jose
1 : 1
Sur-Car
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Universitario Beni 6 4 2 0 11:3 14
2 San Lorenzo del Beni 6 2 3 1 6:8 9
3 Alianza Beni 6 1 3 2 4:4 6
4 Los Almendros 6 0 2 4 5:11 2
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fancesa 8 5 3 0 19:4 18
2 Nacional Sucre 8 3 4 1 12:9 13
3 Deportivo Aleman 8 4 1 3 12:11 13
4 Atletico Sucre 8 3 2 3 17:15 11
5 Independiente Recreo 8 0 0 8 6:27 0
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 San Antonio Bulo Bulo 8 5 2 1 17:5 17
2 Pasion Celeste 8 3 4 1 12:7 13
3 Real Mizque 8 3 4 1 8:7 13
4 Enrique Happ 8 2 4 2 12:7 10
5 Israel University 8 0 0 8 4:27 0
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fatic 8 5 3 0 24:7 18
2 Academia del Balompie 8 3 3 2 24:9 12
3 Hiska Nacional 8 3 3 2 12:10 12
4 Chaco Petrolero 8 3 3 2 15:14 12
5 Huayna Potosi Palcoco 8 0 0 8 7:42 -2
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 GV San Jose 8 6 2 0 23:7 20
2 Sur-Car 8 4 1 3 17:15 13
3 Real Oruro 8 3 3 2 20:9 12
4 Em Huanuni 8 2 2 4 15:12 8
5 CM Poopo 8 1 0 7 4:36 3
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Universitario de Pando 2 2 0 0 7:2 6
2 Real Mapajo 2 0 0 2 2:7 0
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Real Potosi 6 5 0 1 12:2 15
2 Stormers SL 6 3 2 1 10:2 11
3 Rosario Central 6 2 1 3 7:6 7
4 Huracan Tupiza 6 0 1 5 0:19 1
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz 8 6 1 1 25:8 19
2 Torre Fuerte 8 5 0 3 15:7 15
3 24 de Septiembre 8 3 3 2 14:12 12
4 River 66 8 1 2 5 9:22 5
5 Universidad Crucena 8 1 2 5 6:20 5
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Municipal de Tarija 8 5 1 2 16:8 16
2 Municipalidad de Yacuiba 8 4 2 2 14:14 14
3 Atletico Bermejo 8 4 1 3 12:7 13
4 Ciclon 8 1 4 3 4:8 7
5 Garcia Agreda 8 0 4 4 5:14 4
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams