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Real Oruro vs Tomayapo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bolivia Bolivia

Copa Pacena Estadio Jesús Bermúdez, Oruro
Real Oruro Logo

Real Oruro

4 - 0
FT
Tomayapo Logo

Tomayapo

Our Tip

Match Events

36'
Ari Cruz J.
58' Event
Mendez R.
Assist: Ari Cruz J.
60'
Sub
Mendez R. In: Montenegro J.
Out: Mendez R.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 4-0. The second leg ended 4-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Real Oruro
20%
Draws
29%
Tomayapo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Real Oruro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Real Oruro carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Real Oruro are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Real Oruro have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Real Oruro, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Real Oruro Clean Sheet 14%
Tomayapo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real Oruro Tomayapo
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 9 7
Draws 5 5
Losses 17 17
Goals Scored 1.55 0.9
Goals Conceded 2.32 2.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 6, 2026 Copa Pacena
Real Oruro vs Tomayapo
4:0
Sep 27, 2026 Copa Pacena
Tomayapo vs Real Oruro
2:1
Aug 7, 2026 Division Profesional
Tomayapo vs Real Oruro
1:2
Nov 28, 2025 Division Profesional
Real Oruro vs Tomayapo
5:2
Jul 17, 2025 Copa Pacena
Tomayapo vs Real Oruro
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Real Oruro Compare

Top Goalscorer Mendez R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pinto D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Tomayapo Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Oruro 84 / 100
Tomayapo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real Oruro Tomayapo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Real Oruro Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Real Oruro's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Tomayapo conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: Real Oruro stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Real Oruro VS Tomayapo
0.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Real Oruro

(Home)
06 Oct
Real Oruro
4 : 0
Tomayapo
03 Oct
Nacional Potosi
2 : 0
Real Oruro
30 Sept
Real Oruro
2 : 2
Always Ready
27 Sept
Tomayapo
2 : 1
Real Oruro
20 Sept
Real Oruro
1 : 0
GV San Jose
Page 1 of 7

Tomayapo

(Away)
06 Oct
Real Oruro
4 : 0
Tomayapo
03 Oct
Always Ready
4 : 0
Tomayapo
30 Sept
Tomayapo
1 : 1
Nacional Potosi
27 Sept
Tomayapo
2 : 1
Real Oruro
22 Sept
Independiente
5 : 1
Tomayapo
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aurora 8 5 3 0 13:6 18
2 Real Potosi 8 4 2 2 14:12 14
3 San Antonio Bulo Bulo 8 3 1 4 15:12 10
4 Academia del Balompie 8 2 0 6 9:13 6
Promotion - Copa Pacena 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nacional Potosi 7 4 2 1 21:5 14
2 Always Ready 7 3 1 3 12:19 10
3 Tomayapo 8 3 1 4 10:20 10
4 Real Oruro 8 2 1 5 11:16 7
Promotion - Copa Pacena 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 The Strongest 7 4 2 1 15:11 14
2 Oriente Petrolero 7 3 1 3 10:9 10
3 Guabira 7 3 0 4 9:14 9
4 Club Universitario de Vinto 7 2 1 4 13:15 7
Promotion - Copa Pacena 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bolivar 7 5 2 0 16:6 17
2 Independiente 8 5 1 2 16:11 16
3 GV San Jose 8 2 0 6 11:17 6
4 Blooming 7 1 0 6 10:19 3
Promotion - Copa Pacena 2025 (Play Offs)