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Real Pharma Odesa vs Nyva Vinnytsya

Ukraine Ukraine

Druha Liga 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Katerinka S.
27' Event
Pogorilyi V.
Penalty Missed
27' Event
Pogorilyi V.

AI Match Summary

The Druha Liga 2025/2026 game between Real Pharma Odesa and Nyva Vinnytsya finished 0-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nyva Vinnytsya.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Real Pharma Odesa
20%
Draws
57%
Nyva Vinnytsya
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Nyva Vinnytsya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Nyva Vinnytsya come out ahead of Real Pharma Odesa on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Nyva Vinnytsya's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Nyva Vinnytsya have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Real Pharma Odesa Clean Sheet 19%
Nyva Vinnytsya Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real Pharma Odesa Nyva Vinnytsya
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 1 16
Draws 3 7
Losses 26 10
Goals Scored 0.57 1.36
Goals Conceded 3.27 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 8, 2026 Druha Liga
Nyva Vinnytsya vs Real Pharma Odesa
3:0
Nov 12, 2025 Druha Liga
Real Pharma Odesa vs Nyva Vinnytsya
0:5
Sep 7, 2025 Druha Liga
Nyva Vinnytsya vs Real Pharma Odesa
3:0
May 17, 2024 Druha Liga
Real Pharma Odesa vs Nyva Vinnytsya
0:4
Oct 21, 2023 Druha Liga
Nyva Vinnytsya vs Real Pharma Odesa
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Real Pharma Odesa Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Nyva Vinnytsya Compare

Top Goalscorer Katerinka S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pogorilyi V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Pharma Odesa 10 / 100
Nyva Vinnytsya 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real Pharma Odesa Nyva Vinnytsya

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nyva Vinnytsya Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Nyva Vinnytsya's defensive record shows goals conceded in 65% of 31 matches.

Real Pharma Odesa's goal record stands at 38% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Solid form: Real Pharma Odesa remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Real Pharma Odesa VS Nyva Vinnytsya
0.75 Goals Scored 0.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Real Pharma Odesa

(Home)
22 May
Real Pharma Odesa
0 : 3
Kulikiv
10 May
Bukovyna 2
2 : 1
Real Pharma Odesa
01 May
FC Uzhhorod
2 : 2
Real Pharma Odesa
25 Apr
Real Pharma Odesa
:
Lisne
25 Apr
Real Pharma Odesa
1 : 5
FC Vilkhivtsi
Page 1 of 6

Nyva Vinnytsya

(Away)
19 Sept
Dinaz Vyshgorod
0 : 1
Nyva Vinnytsya
10 Sept
Nyva Vinnytsya
0 : 1
Dynamo Kyiv
04 Sept
Nyva Vinnytsya
4 : 1
Nyva Ternopil 2
29 Aug
Bratslav Vinnytsia
0 : 0
Nyva Vinnytsya
22 Aug
Nyva Vinnytsya
3 : 2
Rukh Lviv
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kulikiv 30 21 5 4 58:18 68
2 Zhytomyr 2 30 18 9 3 69:22 63
3 Nyva Vinnytsya 30 15 6 9 42:32 51
4 Nyva Ternopil 2 30 16 2 12 30:43 50
5 Atlet Kiev 30 14 4 12 45:48 46
6 FC Uzhhorod 30 13 5 12 40:37 44
7 Skala 1911 30 13 5 12 62:48 44
8 FC Vilkhivtsi 30 12 5 13 50:46 41
9 Bukovyna 2 30 7 6 17 31:57 27
10 Real Pharma Odesa 30 1 4 25 18:96 7
11 Lisne 30 8 3 19 32:30 27
Promotion - Persha Liga (Main)
Promotion - Druha Liga 2025/2026 (Additional match)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lokomotyv Kyiv 30 22 4 4 65:16 70
2 Kolos Kovalivka 2 30 21 6 3 64:22 69
3 Chaika Petropavlivska Borshchahivka 30 17 6 7 58:41 57
4 Rebel Kyiv 30 15 5 10 34:27 50
5 Livyi Bereg 2 30 13 9 8 50:28 48
6 Trostyanets 30 13 8 9 46:31 47
7 Oleksandriya 2 30 12 8 10 37:32 44
8 Ch. Odesa 2 30 5 9 16 25:56 24
9 Dinaz Vyshgorod 30 5 4 21 26:62 19
10 Penuel Kryvyi Rih 30 3 8 19 27:64 17
11 Hirnyk-Sport 30 3 5 22 20:73 14
Promotion - Persha Liga (Main)
Promotion - Druha Liga 2025/2026 (Additional match)