Sport Picks

Ukraine

Druha Liga 2011/2012

UkrAhroKom Pryiutivka

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Risks Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

UkrAhroKom Pryiutivka is highly favored to claim all three points on their visit to Real Pharma Odesa, backed by a win probability of 69%. Real Pharma Odesa averages 0.8 goals scored and 2.8 conceded in recent matches. UkrAhroKom Pryiutivka shows a form average of 1.0 goals scored and 0.8 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 0 wins for Real Pharma Odesa, 2 wins for UkrAhroKom Pryiutivka, and 0 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 02.05.12 ended in a 5:0 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 0.85 for Real Pharma Odesa and 2.19 for UkrAhroKom Pryiutivka, suggesting the primary value lies in the UkrAhroKom Pryiutivka double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%

Real Pharma Odesa

18%

Draws

69%

UkrAhroKom Pryiutivka

Draw rate projection: 18% Favored: UkrAhroKom Pryiutivka

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Real Pharma Odesa picked up more points recently compared to UkrAhroKom Pryiutivka.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.85 vs 2.19 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 58%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%

Over 1.5 Goals 75%

Over 2.5 Goals 58%

Over 3.5 Goals 35%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33%

Real Pharma Odesa Clean Sheet 10%

UkrAhroKom Pryiutivka Clean Sheet 17%

First Half Goal 68%

Second Half Goal 71%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Real Pharma Odesa	UkrAhroKom Pryiutivka
Matches Played	39	34
Wins	6	15
Draws	3	9
Losses	30	10
Goals Scored	0.82	1.03
Goals Conceded	2.77	0.85

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

02.05.12 Druha Liga

UkrAhroKom Pryiutivka vs Real Pharma Odesa

Possession: 41% - 58% Cards: 2 - 0

5:0

17.09.11 Druha Liga

Real Pharma Odesa vs UkrAhroKom Pryiutivka

Possession: 50% - 42% Cards: 1 - 2

0:1

Tactical Matchup Profile

Field Positions & Control Styles

Real Pharma Odesa

Pressing Intensity Medium Block

Attacking Style Quick counter-attacks

Wing Attack Frequency Play through the middle

Defensive Alignment Push high up (Offside trap)

Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

UkrAhroKom Pryiutivka

Pressing Intensity Medium Block

Attacking Style Quick counter-attacks

Wing Attack Frequency Play through the middle

Defensive Alignment Sit deep

Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Pharma Odesa 14 / 100

UkrAhroKom Pryiutivka 66 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Real Pharma Odesa UkrAhroKom Pryiutivka

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UkrAhroKom Pryiutivka Win (2)

Secondary Pick UkrAhroKom Pryiutivka & Over 2.5

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +160%

20.00

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +11.4%

1.92

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Expected Match Flow Timeline

Dominance and pressure projections by 15-minute intervals

0' - 15' Dominance Index

UkrAhroKom Pryiutivka will likely look to assert dominance early, testing the hosts' defensive structure.

Real Pharma Odesa 14%

UkrAhroKom Pryiutivka 55%

15' - 30' Dominance Index

Real Pharma Odesa will look to tighten their defensive lines to neutralize UkrAhroKom Pryiutivka's early runs.

Real Pharma Odesa 12%

UkrAhroKom Pryiutivka 72%

30' - 45' Dominance Index

Expect UkrAhroKom Pryiutivka to mount counter-attacks, exploiting gaps as Real Pharma Odesa tries to push forward.

Real Pharma Odesa 13%

UkrAhroKom Pryiutivka 69%

45' - 60' Dominance Index

Tactical adjustments will see UkrAhroKom Pryiutivka increase their pressing intensity in the opposition half.

Real Pharma Odesa 14%

UkrAhroKom Pryiutivka 66%

60' - 75' Dominance Index

Fatigue may set in for Real Pharma Odesa's defense, opening up opportunities for UkrAhroKom Pryiutivka's forward line.

Real Pharma Odesa 12%

UkrAhroKom Pryiutivka 76%

75' - 90' Dominance Index

Expect UkrAhroKom Pryiutivka to manage the closing stages, while Real Pharma Odesa searches for late drama.

Real Pharma Odesa 15%

UkrAhroKom Pryiutivka 79%

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Real Pharma Odesa attacking → ← attacking UkrAhroKom Pryiutivka

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Real Pharma Odesa have found the net in 46% of their last 37 matches.

UkrAhroKom Pryiutivka have conceded at least one goal in 55% of their last 33 fixtures.

Historical meetings between these sides average 3.00 goals per match.

Real Pharma Odesa remained undefeated in 2 of their last 5 overall matchups.

UkrAhroKom Pryiutivka suffered defeat in 1 of their last 5 overall games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Low

Risk Factor

Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.

Risk Factor

Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.

Risk Factor

Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

21 Points in last 5 54

0.50 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

3.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Sumy	26	21	3	2	51:13	66
2	Desna	26	18	5	3	48:19	59
3	Cherkashchyna	26	15	8	3	36:16	53
4	Nova Kakhovka	26	15	7	4	51:18	52
5	UkrAhroKom Pryiutivka	26	14	6	6	43:25	48
6	Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (2004)	26	11	6	9	40:32	33
7	Real Pharma Odesa	26	9	6	11	28:41	33
8	Krystal	26	9	5	12	30:32	32
9	Skala Stryj	26	8	4	14	26:36	28
10	FK Dynamo Khmelnytskyi	26	6	4	16	23:50	22
11	Ch. Odesa 2	26	5	5	16	19:20	20
12	Nyva Ternopil	26	9	6	11	30:41	18
13	Yednist	26	3	6	17	19:57	15
14	Yalpuh Bolhrad	26	2	1	23	10:54	7

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	SC Poltava	26	18	5	3	50:19	59
2	Kramatorsk 2	26	19	1	6	41:15	58
3	Shakhter Sverdlovsk	26	15	6	5	49:23	51
4	Kryvbas Krivoy Rog	26	16	3	7	44:22	51
5	Kremin	26	16	3	7	34:23	51
6	Stal Kamianske	26	15	3	8	34:19	48
7	Myr Hornostajivka	26	13	7	6	36:26	46
8	Shakhtar 3	26	10	1	15	46:56	31
9	Hirnyk-Sport	26	6	8	12	28:39	26
10	FC Sevastopol 2	26	7	3	16	26:51	24
11	Dnipro II	26	6	5	15	24:45	23
12	SK Metalurh Zaporizhya 2	26	5	3	18	19:43	18
13	FC Mariupol II	26	5	2	19	25:47	17
14	FC Nikopol	26	5	2	19	20:48	17